La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Sevilla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +17 | 24 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 3 |
Alaves
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 20 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 |
Espanol
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 |
Real Madrid
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 |
Levante
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 17 |
| 8 |
Valladolid
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +0 | 16 |
| 9 |
Girona
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 |
Getafe
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 |
Eibar
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -6 | 14 |
| 12 |
Celta
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 12 |
| 15 |
Valencia
|
11 | 1 | 8 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 17 |
Ath Bilbao
|
10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Leganes
|
11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 9 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -11 | 6 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 5 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Diego Llorente
D
Aritz Elustondo
D
Igor Zubeldía
M
Mikel Oyarzabal
M
Coach: Asier Garitano
Sergi Gómez
D
Coach: Pablo Machín
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Girona
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Sociedad
Valencia
Sociedad
Vallecano
Eduardo Prieto Iglesias · 39 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.