La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Sociedad
Sevilla
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | +35 | 42 |
| 2 |
Ath Madrid
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 | +18 | 36 |
| 3 |
Valencia
|
16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | +20 | 34 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +19 | 31 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | +0 | 29 |
| 6 |
Villarreal
|
16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 24 |
| 7 |
Getafe
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | +6 | 23 |
| 8 |
Girona
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 23 |
| 9 |
Leganes
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 |
Betis
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 21 |
| 11 |
Eibar
|
16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 21 |
| 12 |
Sociedad
|
16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | +0 | 20 |
| 13 |
Celta
|
16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 14 |
Ath Bilbao
|
16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 |
Levante
|
17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -7 | 18 |
| 16 |
Espanol
|
16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 |
La Coruna
|
16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 |
Alaves
|
16 | 4 | 0 | 12 | -13 | 12 |
| 19 |
Malaga
|
16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | -17 | 11 |
| 20 |
Las Palmas
|
17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -25 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Rulli
G
Diego Llorente
D
Canales
M
Coach: Eusebio Sacristán
David Soria
G
Coach: E. Berizzo
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Bilbao
Sociedad
Sociedad
Malaga
Ath Madrid
Sociedad
Sociedad
Las Palmas
Girona
Sociedad
Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.