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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernandez
Sociedad
U U T T U
3–1
Full-time
Sevilla
S S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 44%
31%
56%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
69%
44%
Both score Ø 50%
69%
31%
Average goals
3,5
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
0 Offside 5
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 12. · Sevilla 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 3 0 +35 42
2 Ath Madrid 16 10 6 0 +18 36
3 Valencia 16 10 4 2 +20 34
4 Real Madrid 15 9 4 2 +19 31
5 Sevilla 16 9 2 5 +0 29
6 Villarreal 16 7 3 6 +3 24
7 Getafe 17 6 5 6 +6 23
8 Girona 16 6 5 5 -2 23
9 Leganes 16 6 3 7 -2 21
10 Betis 16 6 3 7 -4 21
11 Eibar 16 6 3 7 -10 21
12 Sociedad 16 5 5 6 +0 20
13 Celta 16 5 3 8 +3 18
14 Ath Bilbao 16 4 6 6 -3 18
15 Levante 17 3 9 5 -7 18
16 Espanol 16 4 5 7 -8 17
17 La Coruna 16 4 3 9 -13 15
18 Alaves 16 4 0 12 -13 12
19 Malaga 16 3 2 11 -17 11
20 Las Palmas 17 3 2 12 -25 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Sevilla
1–0 Íñigo Martínez
Illarramendi
17′
39′
🟨 Wissam Ben Yedder
44′
W. Ben Yedder 1–1
M. Krohn-Dehli
Half-time 1–1
51′
🟨 Guido Pizarro
57′
🟨 Sébastien Corchia
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ A. Januzaj
60′
64′
🔁 F. Vázquez
↦ Ganso
Raúl Navas 🟨
68′
Igor Zubeldía 🔁
↦ Zurutuza
76′
2–1 Igor Zubeldía
Mikel Oyarzabal
76′
C. Vela 🔁
↦ Canales
78′
81′
🔁 L. Muriel
↦ M. Krohn-Dehli
81′
🔁 Nolito
↦ S. Corchia
86′
🟨 Franco Vázquez
87′
🟨 Simon Kjær
3–1 C. Vela
Íñigo Martínez
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 G. Rulli G
22 Raúl Navas D
6 Íñigo Martínez D
3 Diego Llorente D
19 Álvaro Odriozola D
10 Xabi Prieto M
16 Canales M
4 Illarramendi M
17 Zurutuza M
8 A. Januzaj M
12 Willian José F
Bench (7)
18 Mikel Oyarzabal
5 Igor Zubeldía
11 C. Vela
7 Juanmi
13 Toño
15 Aritz Elustondo
21 Jon Bautista

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 David Soria G
4 S. Kjær D
18 Sergio Escudero D
2 S. Corchia D
7 M. Krohn-Dehli M
10 É. Banega M
19 Ganso M
17 Pablo Sarabia M
14 G. Pizarro M
12 J. Geis D
9 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (7)
22 F. Vázquez
20 L. Muriel
24 Nolito
3 L. Carole
11 J. Correa
23 Borja Lasso
1 Sergio Rico

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alejandro Hernandez · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.