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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Eibar
T U T T U
3–2
Full-time
Sevilla
S S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,8
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,4
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,2
1,4
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 19
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 19. · Sevilla 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +3 13
3 Ath Bilbao 6 3 3 0 +5 12
4 Granada 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Sevilla 5 3 1 1 +3 10
8 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Getafe 6 1 4 1 +1 7
11 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Osasuna 6 1 4 1 -1 7
13 Valencia 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Alaves 5 1 2 2 -2 5
16 Celta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
18 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -6 4
19 Eibar 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Leganes 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sevilla
11′
L. Ocampos 0–1
Joan Jordán
Anaitz Arbilla 🟨
19′
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ T. Inui
32′
33′
Óliver Torres 0–2
L. Ocampos
Half-time 0–2
P. De Blasis 🔁
↦ Ramis
46′
49′
🟨 Sergio Escudero
Edu Expósito 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 J. Koundé
↦ Daniel Carriço
1–2 F. Orellana
66′
68′
🔁 N. Gudelj
↦ Joan Jordán
70′
🟨 Joan Jordan
2–2 Pedro León
77′
79′
🔁 Alejandro Pozo
↦ Óliver Torres
3–2 Cote
82′
84′
🟨 Nemanja Gudelj
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ Pedro León
88′
Paulo Oliveira 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Diego Carlos
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 Marko Dmitrović G
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
12 Paulo Oliveira D
4 Iván Ramis D
15 José Ángel D
10 Edu Expósito M
8 Papakouli Diop M
21 Pedro León M
14 Fabián Orellana M
22 Takashi Inui M
7 Quique F
Bench (7)
13 Yoel Rodríguez
3 Pedro Bigas
6 Sergio Álvarez
5 Gonzalo Escalante
16 Pablo De Blasis
17 Kike
19 Charles Días

Coach: Mendilibar

Sevilla

4-3-3
1 Tomáš Vaclík G
16 Jesús Navas D
20 Diego Carlos D
6 Daniel Carriço D
18 Sergio Escudero D
24 Joan Jordan M
25 Fernando M
10 Éver Banega M
5 Lucas Ocampos F
11 Munir El Haddadi F
21 Óliver Torres F
Bench (7)
13 Bono
12 Jules Kounde
17 Nemanja Gudelj
14 Javier Hernández
7 Rony Lopes
19 Luuk de Jong
15 Alejandro Pozo

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,25
U
3,34
B
2,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,02
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.