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La Liga
Referee: Valentín Pizarro
Eibar
T U T U T
1–2
Full-time
Espanol
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
2,7
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 0
7 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Eibar 18. · Espanol 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 +1 9
2 Real Madrid 4 2 2 0 +3 8
3 Ath Bilbao 4 2 2 0 +3 8
4 Barcelona 4 2 1 1 +5 7
5 Sevilla 3 2 1 0 +3 7
6 Sociedad 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Levante 4 2 0 2 +1 6
8 Villarreal 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Osasuna 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Alaves 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Granada 3 1 1 1 +2 4
12 Celta 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Valladolid 3 1 1 1 -1 4
14 Valencia 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Mallorca 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Betis 3 1 0 2 -3 3
17 Getafe 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Eibar 3 0 1 2 -2 1
19 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -5 1
20 Leganes 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Espanol
José Ángel 🟨
25′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Naldo
1–0 Ramis
F. Orellana
58′
61′
🟨 Marc Roca
67′
🔁 M. Vargas
↦ Marc Roca
Edu Expósito 🟨
69′
G. Escalante 🔁
↦ Edu Expósito
73′
73′
🔁 Adrià Pedrosa
↦ Melendo
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ Ramis
76′
76′
F. Ferreyra 1–1
M. Vargas
77′
🔁 Granero
↦ F. Ferreyra
79′
Granero 1–2
Quique González 🔁
↦ Sergi Enrich
81′
90′
🟨 Adrià Pedrosa
90′
🟨 Naldo
90′
🟥 Naldo
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Eibar

4-4-2
1 Marko Dmitrović G
24 Álvaro Tejero D
4 Iván Ramis D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
15 José Ángel D
14 Fabián Orellana M
8 Papakouli Diop M
10 Edu Expósito M
22 Takashi Inui M
19 Charles Días F
9 Sergi Enrich F
Bench (7)
13 Yoel Rodríguez
3 Pedro Bigas
6 Sergio Álvarez
21 Pedro León
5 Gonzalo Escalante
17 Kike
7 Quique

Coach: Mendilibar

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
16 Javi López D
5 Naldo D
24 Fernando Calero D
17 Didac Vila D
14 Óscar Melendo M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
21 Marc Roca M
10 Sergi Darder M
9 Facundo Ferreyra F
12 Jonathan Calleri F
Bench (7)
1 Andrés Prieto
3 Adrià Pedrosa
6 Lluis López
20 Bernardo Espinosa
23 Esteban Granero
22 Matías Vargas
7 Wu Lei

Coach: David Gallego

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U
3,34
B ✓
4,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,20
U2,5
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Valentín Pizarro · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.