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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Eibar

S T T S T

0–4

Full-time

Celta

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

2,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 30%

40%

20%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

20%

80%

Average goals

2,6

2,8

Scored

0,6

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

-1,4

-0,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 11

0 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Eibar 15. · Celta 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
2	Ath Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Sevilla	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Real Madrid	6	3	2	1	+5	11
5	Valencia	5	2	3	0	+6	9
6	Levante	5	2	3	0	+4	9
7	Sociedad	5	3	0	2	+1	9
8	Betis	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Getafe	6	2	2	2	+3	8
10	Ath Bilbao	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Espanol	6	2	2	2	-2	8
12	Leganes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Villarreal	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	Las Palmas	5	2	0	3	-3	6
15	Eibar	5	2	0	3	-7	6
16	Girona	6	1	2	3	-5	5
17	Celta	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	La Coruna	6	1	1	4	-8	4
19	Malaga	6	0	1	5	-10	1
20	Alaves	6	0	0	6	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+12	9
2	Levante	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Valencia	3	2	1	0	+6	7
4	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Espanol	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Celta	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Leganes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Girona	4	1	1	2	-3	4
13	Getafe	3	1	0	2	+2	3
14	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	-3	3
17	La Coruna	3	1	0	2	-4	3
18	Real Madrid	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Sociedad	3	2	0	1	+0	6
5	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Getafe	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	+0	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Betis	3	1	0	2	-3	3
11	Villarreal	4	1	0	3	-5	3
12	Eibar	3	1	0	2	-7	3
13	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Espanol	3	0	2	1	-5	2
15	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Girona	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	La Coruna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Celta	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-3	0
20	Malaga	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.