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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Celta

T T S S T

0–2

Full-time

Eibar

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Eibar

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,3

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 42%

41%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

66%

60%

Both score Ø 58%

52%

63%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

12 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 3

0 Corners 3

10 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 10. · Eibar 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	30	22	6	2	+48	72
2	Barcelona	31	21	6	4	+60	69
3	Ath Madrid	31	18	8	5	+32	62
4	Sevilla	31	18	7	6	+17	61
5	Villarreal	31	15	9	7	+21	54
6	Ath Bilbao	31	15	5	11	+4	50
7	Sociedad	30	15	4	11	+2	49
8	Eibar	30	13	8	9	+8	47
9	Espanol	31	12	10	9	+1	46
10	Celta	29	12	5	12	-4	41
11	Alaves	31	10	10	11	-9	40
12	Valencia	31	11	6	14	-7	39
13	Las Palmas	30	9	8	13	-5	35
14	Malaga	31	8	9	14	-11	33
15	Betis	30	8	7	15	-15	31
16	La Coruna	31	6	10	15	-17	28
17	Leganes	30	6	9	15	-21	27
18	Sp Gijon	30	5	7	18	-27	22
19	Granada	31	4	8	19	-38	20
20	Osasuna	30	2	8	20	-39	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	12	4	0	+25	40
2	Barcelona	15	11	3	1	+35	36
3	Sevilla	15	11	3	1	+15	36
4	Ath Bilbao	16	11	3	2	+13	36
5	Ath Madrid	15	11	2	2	+21	35
6	Villarreal	16	9	3	4	+14	30
7	Eibar	16	9	3	4	+8	30
8	Las Palmas	15	8	5	2	+13	29
9	Espanol	16	8	5	3	+9	29
10	Celta	14	9	1	4	+7	28
11	Sociedad	15	7	4	4	+2	25
12	Valencia	15	7	3	5	+0	24
13	Malaga	15	7	2	6	+2	23
14	Betis	16	5	6	5	-1	21
15	La Coruna	15	5	5	5	+4	20
16	Alaves	15	4	7	4	-6	19
17	Granada	15	4	4	7	-5	16
18	Leganes	15	3	5	7	-7	14
19	Sp Gijon	15	4	2	9	-12	14
20	Osasuna	15	0	5	10	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	10	3	3	+25	33
2	Real Madrid	14	10	2	2	+23	32
3	Ath Madrid	16	7	6	3	+11	27
4	Sevilla	16	7	4	5	+2	25
5	Villarreal	15	6	6	3	+7	24
6	Sociedad	15	8	0	7	+0	24
7	Alaves	16	6	3	7	-3	21
8	Eibar	14	4	5	5	+0	17
9	Espanol	15	4	5	6	-8	17
10	Valencia	16	4	3	9	-7	15
11	Ath Bilbao	15	4	2	9	-9	14
12	Celta	15	3	4	8	-11	13
13	Leganes	15	3	4	8	-14	13
14	Malaga	16	1	7	8	-13	10
15	Betis	14	3	1	10	-14	10
16	Osasuna	15	2	3	10	-21	9
17	Sp Gijon	15	1	5	9	-15	8
18	La Coruna	16	1	5	10	-21	8
19	Las Palmas	15	1	3	11	-18	6
20	Granada	16	0	4	12	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.