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La Liga
Referee: José Sánchez
Celta
T S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Espanol
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Espanol
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,3
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,6
0,6
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

63% Possession 37%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 4
5 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Celta 17. · Espanol 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Ath Madrid 6 4 1 1 +3 13
3 Ath Bilbao 6 3 3 0 +5 12
4 Granada 6 3 2 1 +6 11
5 Barcelona 6 3 1 2 +4 10
6 Sociedad 5 3 1 1 +3 10
7 Sevilla 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Villarreal 6 2 2 2 +3 8
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Getafe 6 1 4 1 +1 7
11 Levante 6 2 1 3 -1 7
12 Osasuna 6 1 4 1 -1 7
13 Valencia 6 1 3 2 -2 6
14 Valladolid 6 1 3 2 -3 6
15 Eibar 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Alaves 5 1 2 2 -2 5
17 Celta 5 1 2 2 -3 5
18 Mallorca 6 1 1 4 -6 4
19 Espanol 5 1 1 3 -6 4
20 Leganes 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Celta Espanol
32′
🟨 Fernando Calero
Stanislav Lobotka 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
48′
Adrià Pedrosa 0–1
J. Calleri
Brais Méndez 🔁
↦ S. Lobotka
61′
64′
🔁 Pipa Ávila
↦ Wu Lei
70′
🟨 Naldo
73′
🟨 Pipa
G. Fernández 🔁
↦ Rafinha
76′
77′
🔁 David López
↦ M. Vargas
80′
🟨 Víctor Sánchez
P. Sisto 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
85′
87′
🟨 Jonathan Calleri
87′
🔁 Darder
↦ Marc Roca
Iago Aspas 🟨
90′
1–1 Santi Mina
Hugo Mallo
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Celta

4-4-2
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
18 Joseph Aidoo D
4 Néstor Araujo D
15 Lucas Olaza D
12 Rafinha Alcántara M
14 Stanislav Lobotka M
8 Fran Beltran M
6 Denis Suárez M
22 Santi Mina F
10 Iago Aspas F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Álvarez
16 Jorge Sáenz
20 Kevin Vazquez
24 Pape Cheikh
23 Brais Méndez
11 Pione Sisto
19 Gabriel Fernández

Coach: Fran Escribá

Espanol

4-4-2
13 Diego López G
16 Javi López D
5 Naldo D
24 Fernando Calero D
17 Didac Vila D
7 Wu Lei M
21 Marc Roca M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
3 Adrià Pedrosa M
12 Jonathan Calleri F
22 Matías Vargas F
Bench (7)
1 Andrés Prieto
2 Pipa
15 David López
10 Sergi Darder
19 Pablo Piatti
14 Óscar Melendo
31 Víctor Campuzano Bonilla

Coach: David Gallego

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,85
U ✓
3,64
B
4,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Sánchez · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.