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DFB-Pokal
Referee: M Petersen
1–2
Full-time
FC Koln
U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wurzburger Kickers FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,5
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
10 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +11 3
2 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +9 3
3 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +8 3
4 RB Leipzig 1 1 0 0 +6 3
5 Dresden 1 1 0 0 +6 3
6 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 SSV Jeddeloh 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Elversberg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Bochum 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Darmstadt 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 1 0 1 0 +0 1
25 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
26 FC Saarbrücken 1 0 1 0 +0 1
27 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
28 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
29 Nurnberg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -1 0
31 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -1 0
32 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
33 Waldhof Mannheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
34 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
35 Phönix Lübeck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
36 MSV Duisburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
37 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -2 0
38 St Pauli 1 0 0 1 -2 0
39 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -2 0
40 Heidenheim 1 0 0 1 -3 0
41 Lüneburger SK Hansa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
42 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
43 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -4 0
44 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
45 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -4 0
46 Bahlinger SC 1 0 0 1 -4 0
47 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
48 Eintracht Trier 1 0 0 1 -6 0
49 Westfalia Rhynern 1 0 0 1 -6 0
50 Hemelingen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
51 Krieschow 1 0 0 1 -9 0
52 SC St. Tönis 1 0 0 1 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wurzburger Kickers FC Koln
1–0 D. Abrangao
18′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Ragnar Ache
62′
I. Johannesson 1–1
R. Ache
I. Franjic 🔁
↦ P. Ochs
71′
J. Nischalke 🔁
↦ T. Kraus
71′
75′
🔁 E. Skhiri
↦ G. Mensah
75′
🔁 L. Maina
↦ R. Ache
75′
🔁 T. Dallinga
↦ J. Thielmann
77′
I. Johannesson 1–2
L. Maina
82′
🔁 J. Schmied
↦ L. Lochoshvili
X. Kiefersauer 🔁
↦ N. Embaye
84′
E. Muteba 🔁
↦ D. Kinsombi
84′
F. Evina 🔁
↦ E. Farahnak
86′
David Abrangao 🟨
89′
89′
🔁 P. Okon-Engstler
↦ S. El Mala
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Wurzburger Kickers

5-3-2
33 M. Rajkovacic G
17 L. Omore
5 L. Eberle D
22 D. Hagele D
28 E. Farahnak D
3 D. Abrangao D
8 D. Kinsombi M
6 N. Embaye M
13 P. Ochs M
30 T. Bonga F
31 T. Kraus
Bench (9)
1 J. Hipper
34 B. Karakaya
23 K. Taseski
25 D. Meisel
27 X. Kiefersauer
37 I. Franjic
7 E. Muteba
18 F. Evina
9 J. Nischalke

Coach: Michael Schiele

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schwabe G
17 A. Castro-Montes D
22 J. Simpson-Pusey D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
14 G. Mensah D
5 T. Krauss M
8 I. Johannesson M
29 J. Thielmann M
30 M. Bulter M
10 S. El Mala M
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
20 R. Zieler
2 J. Schmied
33 R. van den Berg
6 E. Skhiri
23 P. Okon-Engstler
39 J. Friemel
37 L. Maina
27 T. Dallinga
11 R. Heskey

Coach: Rene Wagner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Petersen · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.