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DFB-Pokal

Referee: F Lechner

VfB Lubeck

S T

1–4

Full-time

Hoffenheim

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

VfB Lubeck Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

2,0

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

31% Possession 69%

14 Shots 27

3 Shots on target 15

2 Blocked shots 5

10 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 10

0 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
42	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
44	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
45	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
46	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
47	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
48	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
49	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
50	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
52	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
15	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
17	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
18	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
19	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
20	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
21	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
22	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
23	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
24	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
25	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
26	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

VfB Lubeck Hoffenheim

1–0 T. Gözüsirin ⚽

35′

42′

⚽ A. Kramarić 1–1

M. Bülter

Half-time 1–1

46′

🔁 A. Szalai

↦ O. Kabak

60′

⚽ A. Kramarić 1–2

61′

🔁 J. Justvan

↦ G. Prömel

62′

🔁 I. Bebou

↦ K. Vogt

M. Daube 🔁

↦ R. Velasco

69′

F. Egerer 🔁

↦ U. Taffertshofer

69′

K. Hovi 🔁

↦ M. Facklam

69′

⚽ M. Bülter 1–3

I. Bebou

75′

⚽ J. Justvan 1–4

W. Weghorst

M. Thiel 🔁

↦ M. Farrona Pulido

76′

🔁 F. Becker

↦ F. Grillitsch

J. Schneider 🔁

↦ T. Gözüsirin

80′

🔁 M. Beier

↦ M. Bülter

86′

🟨 Finn Ole Becker

Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

VfB Lubeck

4-2-3-1

1 P. Klewin G

22 L. Sommer D

17 T. Grupe D

30 J. Löhden D

24 M. Rüdiger D

20 U. Taffertshofer M

31 M. Boland M

21 R. Velasco M

25 T. Gözüsirin M

10 M. Farrona Pulido M

29 M. Facklam F

Bench (9)

23 M. Daube

8 F. Egerer

9 K. Hovi

13 M. Thiel

33 J. Schneider

27 S. Reddemann

19 F. Kirschke

37 J. Sternberg

28 G. Didzilatis

Coach: L. Pfeiffer

Hoffenheim

3-5-2

O. Baumann G

O. Kabak D

23 J. Brooks D

22 K. Vogt D

3 P. Kadeřábek M

F. Grillitsch M

G. Prömel M

A. Stiller M

M. Bülter M

A. Kramarić F

W. Weghorst F

Bench (9)

41 A. Szalai

17 J. Justvan

9 I. Bebou

20 F. Becker

14 M. Beier

37 L. Philipp

25 K. Akpoguma

18 D. Samassékou

29 R. Skov

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

18. Oct POK 3 years ago

30. Jul POK 4 years ago

Referee

F Lechner · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,4 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

23,3 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

VfB Lubeck

Hoffenheim

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee