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Champions League
Referee: B Frankowski
Plzen
U S T T T
2–4
Full-time
Bayern Munich
S T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Bayern Munich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
0,8
2,5
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,7
This season — Champions League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 78%
56%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
78%
33%
Both score Ø 28%
56%
0%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,6
3,0
Conceded
1,8
0,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–4

32% Possession 68%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Oct -22 Bayern Munich – Plzen 5–0

Match report

Plzen Bayern Munich
10′
⚽ S. Mané 0–1
L. Goretzka
14′
⚽ T. Müller 0–2
K. Coman
E. Jirka 🔁
↦ J. Kopic
25′
25′
⚽ L. Goretzka 0–3
28′
🔁 M. Tel
↦ T. Müller
35′
⚽ L. Goretzka 0–4
L. Sané
Half-time 0–4
L. Holík 🔁
↦ M. Havel
46′
L. Pernica 🔁
↦ V. Jemelka
46′
J. Kliment 🔁
↦ T. Chorý
46′
46′
🔁 E. Choupo-Moting
↦ K. Coman
56′
🔁 R. Gravenberch
↦ L. Goretzka
1–4 A. Vlkanova ⚽
J. Mosquera
62′
64′
🟨 Noussair Mazraoui
70′
🔁 P. Wanner
↦ D. Upamecano
70′
🔁 M. Sabitzer
↦ L. Sané
2–4 J. Kliment ⚽
L. Holík
75′
Jhon Mosquera 🟨
78′
V. Pilař 🔁
↦ A. Vlkanova
81′
90′
🟨 Marcel Sabitzer
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Plzen

4-2-3-1
36 J. Staněk G
24 M. Havel D
2 L. Hejda D
3 M. Tijani D
21 V. Jemelka D
23 L. Kalvach M
20 P. Bucha M
10 J. Kopic M
88 A. Vlkanova M
18 J. Mosquera M
15 T. Chorý F
Bench (10)
77 E. Jirka
44 L. Holík
4 L. Pernica
9 J. Kliment
6 V. Pilař
90 F. Bassey
99 M. N'Diaye
25 A. Čermák
13 M. Tvrdoň
16 M. Jedlička

Coach: M. Bílek

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
26 S. Ulreich G
40 N. Mazraoui D
5 B. Pavard D
2 D. Upamecano D
44 J. Stanišić D
6 J. Kimmich M
8 L. Goretzka M
11 K. Coman M
10 L. Sané M
17 S. Mané M
25 T. Müller F
Bench (6)
39 M. Tel
13 E. Choupo-Moting
38 R. Gravenberch
14 P. Wanner
18 M. Sabitzer
35 J. Schenk

Coach: J. Nagelsmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Frankowski · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.