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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

RB Leipzig

T U U S S

1–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

RB Leipzig Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

2,2

2,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 59%

61%

57%

Points per game

2,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

78%

61%

Both score Ø 59%

65%

52%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,7

1,7

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 5

4 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match RB Leipzig 2. · Leverkusen 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	24	16	4	4	+45	52
2	RB Leipzig	23	14	6	3	+36	48
3	Dortmund	24	14	6	4	+34	48
4	M'gladbach	23	14	4	5	+19	46
5	Leverkusen	23	13	4	6	+11	43
6	Schalke 04	24	9	9	6	-3	36
7	Wolfsburg	24	9	8	7	+4	35
8	Hoffenheim	24	10	4	10	-8	34
9	Freiburg	24	9	6	9	-3	33
10	Union Berlin	24	9	3	12	-7	30
11	FC Koln	23	9	2	12	-6	29
12	Ein Frankfurt	23	8	4	11	+1	28
13	Augsburg	24	7	6	11	-14	27
14	Hertha	24	7	6	11	-16	27
15	Mainz	24	8	1	15	-19	25
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	5	6	13	-23	21
17	Werder Bremen	23	4	5	14	-28	17
18	Paderborn	24	4	4	16	-23	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	12	9	3	0	+31	30
2	Bayern Munich	12	8	2	2	+25	26
3	M'gladbach	11	8	2	1	+14	26
4	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+19	24
5	Leverkusen	12	6	4	2	+8	22
6	Ein Frankfurt	12	6	3	3	+11	21
7	Schalke 04	12	5	5	2	+0	20
8	FC Koln	12	6	1	5	+4	19
9	Union Berlin	12	6	1	5	+2	19
10	Augsburg	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Wolfsburg	12	4	5	3	+3	17
12	Freiburg	11	5	2	4	+0	17
13	Hoffenheim	13	5	1	7	-12	16
14	Mainz	12	4	1	7	-6	13
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	3	3	6	-10	12
16	Hertha	12	3	2	7	-14	11
17	Paderborn	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Werder Bremen	11	1	2	8	-18	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	8	2	2	+20	26
2	RB Leipzig	12	7	3	2	+17	24
3	Leverkusen	11	7	0	4	+3	21
4	M'gladbach	12	6	2	4	+5	20
5	Hoffenheim	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Dortmund	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Wolfsburg	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Hertha	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Freiburg	13	4	4	5	-3	16
10	Schalke 04	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Werder Bremen	12	3	3	6	-10	12
12	Mainz	12	4	0	8	-13	12
13	Union Berlin	12	3	2	7	-9	11
14	FC Koln	11	3	1	7	-10	10
15	Paderborn	12	2	3	7	-10	9
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	2	3	7	-13	9
17	Augsburg	12	2	3	7	-17	9
18	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	1	8	-10	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.