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Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Stuttgart

T S S U T

0–1

Full-time

RB Leipzig

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart RB Leipzig

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 47%

31%

62%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

62%

46%

Both score Ø 66%

85%

46%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

10 Shots 22

1 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 11. · RB Leipzig 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	9	3	1	+20	30
2	Leverkusen	14	8	4	2	+15	28
3	RB Leipzig	13	8	4	1	+15	28
4	Union Berlin	14	6	6	2	+11	24
5	Wolfsburg	13	6	6	1	+7	24
6	Dortmund	13	7	1	5	+8	22
7	M'gladbach	14	5	6	3	+3	21
8	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	8	2	+0	20
9	Freiburg	14	5	5	4	-1	20
10	Augsburg	14	5	4	5	-3	19
11	Stuttgart	13	4	6	3	+6	18
12	Hertha	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Hoffenheim	14	4	3	7	-4	15
14	Werder Bremen	14	3	5	6	-7	14
15	FC Koln	14	2	5	7	-9	11
16	Bielefeld	14	3	1	10	-15	10
17	Mainz	13	1	3	9	-14	6
18	Schalke 04	14	0	4	10	-31	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Wolfsburg	7	5	2	0	+6	17
3	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	+15	14
4	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+8	12
5	Leverkusen	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	5	0	+2	11
7	M'gladbach	7	2	4	1	+3	10
8	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+4	9
9	Freiburg	7	2	3	2	+1	9
10	Hertha	7	2	2	3	-2	8
11	Augsburg	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Hoffenheim	7	2	1	4	-1	7
13	Bielefeld	7	2	0	5	-6	6
14	Werder Bremen	7	1	2	4	-6	5
15	Stuttgart	6	0	4	2	-3	4
16	Mainz	7	0	2	5	-7	2
17	FC Koln	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	8	5	2	1	+10	17
2	Bayern Munich	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Stuttgart	7	4	2	1	+9	14
4	Dortmund	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Union Berlin	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	M'gladbach	7	3	2	2	+0	11
7	Augsburg	7	3	2	2	+0	11
8	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	-2	11
9	RB Leipzig	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	FC Koln	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Werder Bremen	7	2	3	2	-1	9
12	Ein Frankfurt	7	2	3	2	-2	9
13	Hertha	7	2	2	3	+1	8
14	Hoffenheim	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Wolfsburg	6	1	4	1	+1	7
16	Mainz	6	1	1	4	-7	4
17	Bielefeld	7	1	1	5	-9	4
18	Schalke 04	7	0	2	5	-21	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.