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Super League

Referee: J von Mandach

Lausanne

U U T T S

1–4

Full-time

Luzern

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lausanne Luzern

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,5

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

39%

43%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

57%

64%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,3

Scored

1,6

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,85 xG 1,75

49% Possession 51%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 8

2 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lausanne 7. · Luzern 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	29	14	9	6	+10	+0.8	51
2	Basel	29	14	7	8	+28	+18.7	49
3	Young Boys	29	13	7	9	+10	+11.3	46
4	Lugano	29	13	6	10	+3	+7.6	45
5	Luzern	28	12	8	8	+5	+5.7	44
6	Zurich	28	12	6	10	+0	-5.1	42
7	Lausanne	28	11	7	10	+8	+7.6	40
8	St. Gallen	29	10	9	10	+1	-5.4	39
9	Sion	29	9	8	12	-6	+1.9	35
10	Yverdon	29	8	8	13	-16	-14.2	32
11	Grasshoppers	28	5	12	11	-11	-9.5	27
12	Winterthur	29	5	5	19	-32	-19.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Young Boys	15	10	3	2	+18	+8.6	33
2	Lugano	16	9	3	4	+6	+10.1	30
3	Luzern	14	8	3	3	+8	+9.0	27
4	Lausanne	14	8	2	4	+12	+9.4	26
5	Basel	14	8	2	4	+12	+14.9	26
6	Servette	14	7	5	2	+6	+5.0	26
7	St. Gallen	14	6	6	2	+9	+4.8	24
8	Sion	14	6	6	2	+9	+11.5	24
9	Zurich	15	6	4	5	+0	-2.2	22
10	Yverdon	14	6	3	5	-1	-2.8	21
11	Winterthur	14	5	1	8	-9	-4.8	16
12	Grasshoppers	14	2	8	4	-3	+4.3	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Servette	15	7	4	4	+4	-4.2	25
2	Basel	15	6	5	4	+16	+3.8	23
3	Zurich	13	6	2	5	+0	-2.9	20
4	Luzern	14	4	5	5	-3	-3.3	17
5	Lugano	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.5	15
6	St. Gallen	15	4	3	8	-8	-10.2	15
7	Lausanne	14	3	5	6	-4	-1.8	14
8	Young Boys	14	3	4	7	-8	+2.7	13
9	Grasshoppers	14	3	4	7	-8	-13.8	13
10	Yverdon	15	2	5	8	-15	-11.4	11
11	Sion	15	3	2	10	-15	-9.6	11
12	Winterthur	15	0	4	11	-23	-14.6	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.