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Premier League
Referee: J Moss
Arsenal
S S T U S
2–1
Full-time
Brentford
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Brentford
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,8
This season — Premier League · 22/25 matches
Win Ø 40%
55%
24%
Points per game
1,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
50%
52%
Both score Ø 42%
32%
52%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
24 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 2
8 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
14 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Arsenal 6. · Brentford 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Man City 25 20 3 2 +47 63
2 Liverpool 24 16 6 2 +42 54
3 Chelsea 24 13 8 3 +30 47
4 Man United 25 12 7 6 +8 43
5 West Ham 26 12 6 8 +11 42
6 Arsenal 22 12 3 7 +9 39
7 Wolves 23 11 4 8 +4 37
8 Tottenham 22 11 3 8 -1 36
9 Brighton 24 7 12 5 +0 33
10 Southampton 24 6 11 7 -7 29
11 Leicester 22 7 6 9 -5 27
12 Aston Villa 23 8 3 12 -5 27
13 Crystal Palace 24 5 11 8 -3 26
14 Brentford 25 6 6 13 -14 24
15 Leeds 23 5 8 10 -19 23
16 Everton 22 6 4 12 -10 22
17 Newcastle 24 4 10 10 -19 22
18 Norwich 24 4 5 15 -36 17
19 Watford 23 4 3 16 -20 15
20 Burnley 21 1 11 9 -12 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

13. Aug -21 Brentford – Arsenal 2–0

Match report

Arsenal Brentford
Alexandre Lacazette ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
13′
Cédric Soares ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
38′
44′
🔁 V. Janelt
↦ M. Jensen
Half-time 1–0
1–0 E. Smith Rowe
A. Lacazette
48′
68′
🔁 S. Baptiste
↦ J. Dasilva
N. Pépé 🔁
↦ E. Smith Rowe
75′
2–0 B. Saka
T. Partey
79′
81′
🟨 Pontus Jansson
E. Nketiah 🔁
↦ A. Lacazette
84′
84′
🔁 S. Ghoddos
↦ Sergi Canós
Gabriel Magalhães 🟨
86′
93′
C. Nørgaard 2–1
K. Ajer
94′
ℹ️ Christian Nørgaard
VAR: Goal confirmed
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-2-3-1
32 A. Ramsdale G
17 Cédric Soares D
3 K. Tierney D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
4 B. White D
34 G. Xhaka M
5 T. Partey M
8 M. Ødegaard M
10 E. Smith Rowe M
9 A. Lacazette F
7 B. Saka M
Bench (9)
19 N. Pépé
30 E. Nketiah
20 Nuno Tavares
1 B. Leno
82 O. Giraud-Hutchinson
16 R. Holding
18 T. Tomiyasu
25 Mohamed Elneny
23 A. Lokonga

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Brentford

3-5-2
1 David Raya G
18 P. Jansson D
20 K. Ajer D
3 R. Henry M
5 E. Pinnock D
6 C. Nørgaard M
7 Sergi Canós M
8 M. Jensen M
11 Y. Wissa F
10 J. Dasilva M
19 B. Mbeumo F
Bench (9)
27 V. Janelt
26 S. Baptiste
14 S. Ghoddos
15 F. Onyeka
36 F. Stevens
30 M. Rasmussen
29 M. Sørensen
43 N. Young-Coombes
40 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: T. Frank

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,46
U
4,46
B
7,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Moss · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.