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Bundesliga

Referee: W Altmann

Sturm Graz

S S T U S

1–2

Full-time

SK Rapid

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz SK Rapid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,31 xG 2,30

60% Possession 40%

20 Shots 16

7 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sturm Graz 4. · SK Rapid 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.1	6
2	Salzburg	2	1	1	0	+5	+4.2	4
3	Tirol	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
4	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
5	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
7	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
8	Ried	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.4	1
9	Grazer AK	2	0	1	1	-5	-3.0	1
10	BW Linz	2	0	0	2	-2	-2.2	0
11	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
12	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	+5	+2.7	3
2	Tirol	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.8	3
3	SK Rapid	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
4	Altach	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
5	Grazer AK	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
6	Ried	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.5	1
7	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.3	0
8	Wolfsberger AC	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.1	0
9	LASK	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Altach	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.1	3
2	Sturm Graz	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.9	3
3	Hartberg	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.4	3
4	Austria Vienna	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
5	Salzburg	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.5	1
6	BW Linz	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
7	Ried	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
8	Grazer AK	1	0	0	1	-5	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.