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Bundesliga
Referee: W Altmann
SK Rapid
T T U T S
3–1
Full-time
Sturm Graz
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 50%
37%
63%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
47%
67%
Both score Ø 57%
53%
60%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

57% Possession 43%
19 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SK Rapid 6. · Sturm Graz 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 30 19 5 6 +29 62
2 Austria Vienna 30 17 5 8 +14 56
3 Wolfsberger AC 30 16 6 8 +23 54
4 LASK 31 16 5 10 +15 53
5 Salzburg 30 14 9 7 +14 51
6 SK Rapid 30 11 8 11 +1 41
7 Hartberg 31 10 11 10 -1 41
8 BW Linz 30 11 4 15 -7 37
9 Tirol 31 7 8 16 -15 29
10 Grazer AK 31 5 12 14 -20 27
11 A. Klagenfurt 31 6 9 16 -36 27
12 Altach 31 5 10 16 -17 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Apr -25 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 2–0 2. Nov -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–1 4. Aug -24 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–0 24. Apr -24 SK Rapid – Sturm Graz 1–3 19. Apr -24 Sturm Graz – SK Rapid 1–0

Match report

SK Rapid Sturm Graz
1–0 B. Bolla ⚽
M. Seidl
21′
2–0 G. Burgstaller ⚽
41′
Half-time 2–0
A. Radulović 🔁
↦ N. Wurmbrand
46′
56′
🔁 T. Chukwuani
↦ M. Yalcouyé
56′
🔁 E. Karić
↦ E. Aiwu
66′
⚽ L. Grgić 2–1
E. Kara 🔁
↦ G. Burgstaller
72′
3–1 B. Bolla ⚽
E. Kara
78′
R. Kerschbaum 🔁
↦ M. Oswald
82′
L. Schaub 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
82′
82′
🔁 J. Hödl
↦ T. Horvat
82′
🔁 A. Camara
↦ L. Grgić
87′
🔁 A. Malić
↦ J. Gorenc Stankovič
D. Beljo 🔁
↦ M. Seidl
89′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

SK Rapid

4-2-3-1
45 N. Hedl G
77 B. Bolla D
20 A. Ahoussou D
6 S. Raux-Yao D
53 D. Vincze D
29 R. Amané M
28 M. Oswald M
48 N. Wurmbrand M
18 M. Seidl M
22 I. Jansson M
9 G. Burgstaller F
Bench (7)
49 A. Radulović
99 E. Kara
5 R. Kerschbaum
21 L. Schaub
7 D. Beljo
55 N. Cvetković
25 P. Gartler

Coach: S. Kulovits

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
1 K. Scherpen G
2 M. Johnston D
47 E. Aiwu D
5 G. Wüthrich D
24 D. Lavalée D
19 T. Horvat M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 M. Yalcouyé M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
38 L. Grgić F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (7)
21 T. Chukwuani
17 E. Karić
43 J. Hödl
36 A. Camara
23 A. Malić
53 D. Khudyakov
25 S. Hierländer

Coach: J. Säumel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Altmann · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.