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Bundesliga
Referee: M Hameter
Sturm Graz
S S T S T
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 50%
58%
42%
Points per game
1,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
75%
58%
Average goals
3,8
3,1
Scored
2,3
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
19 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 1
4 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Wolfsberger AC 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 13 11 2 0 +24 35
2 Sturm Graz 12 7 2 3 +11 23
3 Wolfsberger AC 12 5 3 4 -3 18
4 Hartberg 13 4 5 4 +3 17
5 Austria Vienna 12 3 6 3 +3 15
6 A. Klagenfurt 13 3 6 4 -2 15
7 Admira 13 3 5 5 -1 14
8 Ried 13 3 5 5 -12 14
9 SK Rapid 12 3 4 5 +0 13
10 Altach 13 3 4 6 -9 13
11 Tirol 12 2 6 4 -8 12
12 LASK 12 2 4 6 -6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
6′
🟨 Luka Lochoshvili
16′
M. Liendl 0–1
A. Jasic
Half-time 0–1
M. Sarkaria 🔁
↦ A. Niangbo
46′
46′
🔁 D. Gugganig
↦ L. Lochoshvili
59′
🔁 C. Wernitznig
↦ E. Peretz
61′
🟨 Dominik Baumgartner
64′
A. Dante 1–1
own goal
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ A. Dante
65′
76′
🔁 C. Dieng
↦ T. Röcher
78′
🟨 Adis Jasic
C. Lang 🔁
↦ L. Jäger
81′
90′
🔁 K. Stratznig
↦ M. Taferner
94′
C. Dieng 1–2
M. Liendl
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
42 D. Affengruber D
44 A. Dante D
17 L. Jäger D
19 A. Kuen M
8 A. Prass M
13 J. Jantscher F
15 A. Niangbo M
9 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
11 M. Sarkaria
30 I. Ljubic
26 C. Lang
37 M. Wels
32 T. Schützenauer
35 N. Geyrhofer
6 A. Borkovic

Coach: C. Ilzer

Wolfsberger AC

4-3-1-2
31 A. Kofler G
22 D. Baumgartner D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
77 A. Dedić D
10 M. Liendl M
16 M. Leitgeb M
7 E. Peretz M
30 M. Taferner M
97 A. Jasic D
18 T. Röcher F
9 D. Vizinger F
Bench (7)
4 D. Gugganig
24 C. Wernitznig
8 C. Dieng
33 K. Stratznig
17 J. Scherzer
20 A. Boakye
29 M. Kuttin

Coach: R. Dutt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Hameter · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.