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Bundesliga
Referee: H Lechner
Wolfsberger AC
U T T T U
1–4
Full-time
Sturm Graz
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 10
1 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 8. · Sturm Graz 12. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Admira 2 1 1 0 +4 4
2 LASK 2 1 1 0 +1 4
3 Salzburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hartberg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
5 Ried 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Altach 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Tirol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Wolfsberger AC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 SK Rapid 2 0 1 1 -2 1
10 A. Klagenfurt 2 0 1 1 -4 1
11 Austria Vienna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Sturm Graz 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

22. May -21 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 1–3 21. Apr -21 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 0–1 21. Feb -21 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 1–2 17. Jan -21 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 0–0 24. Jun -20 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 2–0

Match report

Wolfsberger AC Sturm Graz
1–0 D. Baumgartner ⚽
M. Liendl
15′
25′
⚽ G. Wüthrich 1–1
J. Jantscher
Tai Baribo 🟨
26′
31′
⚽ O. Kiteishvili 1–2
J. Jantscher
32′
⚽ J. Jantscher 1–3
I. Ljubic
37′
⚽ D. Affengruber 1–4
J. Jantscher
Half-time 1–4
D. Gugganig 🔁
↦ D. Vizinger
46′
Dominik Baumgartner 🟨
59′
62′
🔁 M. Sarkaria
↦ J. Jantscher
E. Peretz 🔁
↦ M. Liendl
71′
C. Dieng 🔁
↦ T. Baribo
72′
72′
🔁 L. Jäger
↦ J. Gazibegović
72′
🔁 A. Prass
↦ I. Ljubic
75′
🟨 Alexander Prass
88′
🔁 N. Geyrhofer
↦ S. Hierländer
88′
🔁 A. Kuen
↦ O. Kiteishvili
David Gugganig 🟨
92′
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

4-2-3-1
29 M. Kuttin G
17 J. Scherzer D
22 D. Baumgartner D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
77 A. Dedić D
10 M. Liendl M
24 C. Wernitznig M
30 M. Taferner M
18 T. Röcher M
9 D. Vizinger M
11 T. Baribo F
Bench (7)
4 D. Gugganig
7 E. Peretz
8 C. Dieng
33 K. Stratznig
3 G. Henriksson
97 A. Jasic
31 A. Kofler

Coach: R. Dutt

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
5 G. Wüthrich D
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
44 A. Dante D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Stankovič M
30 I. Ljubic M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
13 J. Jantscher F
9 K. Yeboah F
Bench (7)
11 M. Sarkaria
17 L. Jäger
8 A. Prass
35 N. Geyrhofer
19 A. Kuen
32 T. Schützenauer
33 D. Shabanhaxhaj

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Lechner · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.