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Europa League
Referee: B Bastien
Sturm Graz
S S T S S
0–0
Full-time
Lazio
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Lazio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,3
4,2
Scored
1,3
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Europa League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
3,5
6,0
Scored
0,5
2,5
Conceded
3,0
3,5
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Sturm Graz Lazio
25′
🟨 Danilo Cataldi
Stefan Hierländer 🟨
33′
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Zaccagni
↦ Felipe Anderson
46′
🔁 M. Lazzari
↦ A. Marušić
63′
🔁 M. Vecino
↦ S. Milinković-Savić
O. Kiteishvili 🔁
↦ T. Horvat
69′
M. Fuseini 🔁
↦ W. Bøving
70′
72′
🔁 M. Cancellieri
↦ Pedro
75′
🔁 Patric
↦ Mario Gila
M. Sarkaria 🔁
↦ A. Ajeti
76′
I. Ljubic 🔁
↦ S. Hierländer
76′
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟨
81′
Jusuf Gazibegović 🟥
81′
81′
ℹ️ Ciro Immobile
VAR: Goal cancelled
S. Ingolitsch 🔁
↦ A. Prass
84′
88′
🟨 Patric
Jörg Siebenhandl 🟨
90′
Otar Kiteishvili 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
22 J. Gazibegović D
42 D. Affengruber D
5 G. Wüthrich D
44 A. Danté D
25 S. Hierländer M
4 J. Gorenc Stankovič M
8 A. Prass M
19 T. Horvat M
9 A. Ajeti F
15 W. Bøving F
Bench (12)
10 O. Kiteishvili
29 M. Fuseini
11 M. Sarkaria
30 I. Ljubic
24 S. Ingolitsch
32 T. Schützenauer
18 D. Oroz
37 M. Wels
28 D. Schnegg
31 L. Marić
13 J. Jantscher
6 A. Borković

Coach: C. Ilzer

Lazio

4-3-3
94 I. Provedel G
23 E. Hysaj D
34 Mario Gila D
13 A. Romagnoli D
77 A. Marušić D
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
32 D. Cataldi M
10 Luis Alberto M
7 Felipe Anderson F
17 C. Immobile F
9 Pedro F
Bench (11)
20 M. Zaccagni
29 M. Lazzari
5 M. Vecino
11 M. Cancellieri
4 Patric
61 F. Magro
6 Marcos Antônio
26 Ş. Radu
88 T. Bašić
1 Luís Maximiano
18 L. Romero

Coach: M. Sarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.