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Bundesliga
Referee: A Kijas
Sturm Graz
S S U S S
1–4
Full-time
Wolfsberger AC
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 47%
53%
40%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
73%
67%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

60% Possession 40%
7 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Corners 6
5 Offside 5
10 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Wolfsberger AC 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 30 24 4 2 +57 76
2 Sturm Graz 30 16 8 6 +21 56
3 SK Rapid 30 10 11 9 +5 41
4 Wolfsberger AC 30 12 5 13 -9 41
5 Austria Vienna 30 9 13 8 +2 40
6 Tirol 31 10 10 11 -11 40
7 LASK 31 8 12 11 +0 36
8 Ried 31 8 12 11 -14 36
9 A. Klagenfurt 30 8 11 11 -13 35
10 Hartberg 31 7 11 13 -4 32
11 Admira 31 6 13 12 -8 31
12 Altach 31 6 8 17 -26 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Apr -22 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 0–2 31. Oct -21 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 0–3 1. Aug -21 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 1–4 22. May -21 Wolfsberger AC – Sturm Graz 1–3 21. Apr -21 Sturm Graz – Wolfsberger AC 0–1

Match report

Sturm Graz Wolfsberger AC
8′
⚽ L. Lochoshvili 0–1
N. Veratschnig
19′
⚽ T. Baribo 0–2
M. Novak
25′
⚽ M. Liendl 0–3
27′
🟨 Thorsten Röcher
L. Kronberger 🔁
↦ J. Stankovič
35′
L. Jäger 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
35′
A. Kuen 🔁
↦ A. Dante
35′
Half-time 0–3
50′
🟨 Nikolas Veratschnig
52′
🟨 Matthäus Taferner
1–3 I. Ljubic ⚽
J. Jantscher
53′
A. Niangbo 🔁
↦ A. Borković
61′
65′
🔁 D. Gugganig
↦ L. Lochoshvili
70′
🔁 D. Vizinger
↦ N. Veratschnig
O. Kiteishvili 🔁
↦ I. Ljubic
71′
76′
⚽ D. Vizinger 1–4
T. Baribo
81′
🔁 C. Wernitznig
↦ M. Taferner
81′
🔁 S. Sprangler
↦ M. Liendl
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-3-1-2
27 J. Siebenhandl G
4 J. Stankovič M
5 G. Wüthrich D
6 A. Borković D
22 J. Gazibegović D
44 A. Dante D
30 I. Ljubic M
8 A. Prass M
13 J. Jantscher F
11 M. Sarkaria M
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (7)
23 L. Kronberger
17 L. Jäger
19 A. Kuen
15 A. Niangbo
10 O. Kiteishvili
32 T. Schützenauer
26 C. Lang

Coach: C. Ilzer

Wolfsberger AC

4-3-1-2
31 A. Kofler G
27 M. Novak D
22 D. Baumgartner D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
77 A. Dedić D
10 M. Liendl M
16 M. Leitgeb M
30 M. Taferner M
18 T. Röcher F
11 T. Baribo F
6 N. Veratschnig M
Bench (7)
4 D. Gugganig
9 D. Vizinger
24 C. Wernitznig
19 S. Sprangler
97 A. Jasic
21 D. Skubl
33 K. Stratznig

Coach: R. Dutt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B ✓
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Kijas · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.