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Bundesliga
Referee: S Ebner
Tirol
T S T T T
2–1
Full-time
Hartberg
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tirol Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

45% Possession 55%
29 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 1
10 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tirol 10. · Hartberg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sturm Graz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 Salzburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
3 LASK 1 1 0 0 +2 3
4 Hartberg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 SK Rapid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 A. Lustenau 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Ried 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 Wolfsberger AC 2 0 2 0 +0 2
9 Altach 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Tirol 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 A. Klagenfurt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
12 Austria Vienna 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tirol Hartberg
37′
O. Aydın 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 M. Horvat
↦ J. Heil
1–1 S. Ogrinec
47′
Kofi Schulz ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
52′
54′
🟨 Patrick Farkas
2–1 T. Prica
55′
61′
🔁 M. Gollner
↦ M. Steinwender
62′
🔁 T. Kofler
↦ C. Klem
62′
🔁 T. Kainz
↦ A. Ejupi
Sandi Ogrinec 🟨
67′
71′
🔁 M. Kröpfl
↦ P. Farkas
Raffael Behounek 🟨
72′
Felix Bacher 🟨
76′
J. Ertlthaler 🔁
↦ T. Prica
78′
Julius Ertlthaler 🟨
84′
J. Naschberger 🔁
↦ V. Müller
87′
D. Tomic 🔁
↦ S. Ogrinec
87′
A. Ranacher 🔁
↦ Ž. Rogelj
87′
J. Forst 🔁
↦ N. Prelec
89′
93′
🟨 Matija Horvat
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tirol

4-4-2
25 F. Oswald G
5 F. Bacher D
30 R. Behounek D
26 D. Štumberger D
44 K. Schulz D
21 Ž. Rogelj M
10 B. Blume M
4 V. Müller M
98 S. Ogrinec M
33 T. Prica F
9 N. Prelec F
Bench (7)
77 J. Ertlthaler
17 J. Naschberger
18 D. Tomic
14 A. Ranacher
19 J. Forst
13 B. Ozegovic
20 C. Üstündag

Coach: T. Silberberger

Hartberg

4-3-1-2
1 R. Swete G
29 P. Farkas D
12 M. Steinwender D
16 M. Sonnleitner D
14 C. Klem D
8 L. Fadinger M
32 A. Ejupi M
28 J. Heil M
9 O. Aydın M
24 D. Tadić F
30 S. Paintsil F
Bench (7)
11 M. Horvat
5 M. Gollner
27 T. Kofler
23 T. Kainz
17 M. Kröpfl
18 P. Sturm
35 R. Sallinger

Coach: K. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Ebner · 100 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.