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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schüttengruber
Hartberg
S S U U S
1–1
Full-time
Ried
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hartberg Ried
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 31%
36%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
50%
61%
Both score Ø 58%
61%
54%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
12 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hartberg 6. · Ried 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 28 21 2 5 +50 65
2 SK Rapid 28 16 8 4 +27 56
3 LASK 28 14 5 9 +16 47
4 Sturm Graz 28 13 8 7 +14 47
5 Wolfsberger AC 28 12 4 12 -5 40
6 Hartberg 28 10 10 8 -11 40
7 Austria Vienna 28 9 9 10 +3 36
8 Tirol 28 10 6 12 -2 36
9 Ried 28 7 7 14 -21 28
10 Altach 28 7 5 16 -26 26
11 St. Polten 28 5 8 15 -14 23
12 Admira 28 5 6 17 -31 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hartberg Ried
45′
🟨 Matthias Gragger
Half-time 0–0
J. Heil 🔁
↦ J. Ertlthaler
46′
46′
🔁 M. Grüll
↦ B. Gschweidl
46′
🔁 A. Bajic
↦ M. Gragger
48′
A. Bajic 0–1
S. Nutz
S. Chabbi 🔁
↦ L. Ried
60′
63′
🔁 T. Reifeltshammer
↦ M. Haas
Christian Klem 🟨
72′
S. Rakowitz 🔁
↦ S. Horvath
73′
1–1 S. Rakowitz
82′
T. Rotter 🔁
↦ M. Horvat
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hartberg

4-1-4-1
1 R. Swete G
14 C. Klem D
32 F. Luckeneder D
27 L. Ried M
29 S. Horvath M
42 B. Nimaga M
7 J. Ertlthaler M
22 F. Flecker D
11 M. Horvat D
24 D. Tadić F
9 R. Rep M
Bench (7)
28 J. Heil
45 S. Chabbi
10 S. Rakowitz
31 T. Rotter
8 S. Tijani
35 R. Sallinger
6 A. Lienhart

Coach: M. Schopp

Ried

3-4-1-2
1 S. Sahin-Radlinger G
23 M. Haas M
6 C. Reiner D
2 L. Meisl D
14 K. Boateng D
15 M. Gragger M
4 M. Ziegl M
22 S. Nutz F
10 J. Wießmeier F
37 N. Stosic M
9 B. Gschweidl F
Bench (7)
17 M. Grüll
12 A. Bajic
28 T. Reifeltshammer
25 P. Möschl
32 L. Gütlbauer
11 D. Offenbacher
16 M. Lackner

Coach: A. Heraf

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Schüttengruber · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.