Premiership
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Celtic
Falkirk
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Hearts
|
33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | +30 | +12.3 | 70 |
| 2 |
Rangers
|
33 | 19 | 12 | 2 | +35 | +19.5 | 69 |
| 3 |
Celtic
|
33 | 21 | 4 | 8 | +24 | +21.0 | 67 |
| 4 |
Motherwell
|
33 | 14 | 12 | 7 | +23 | +11.9 | 54 |
| 5 |
Hibernian
|
33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | +14 | +3.8 | 51 |
| 6 |
Falkirk
|
33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | -3 | +3.4 | 46 |
| 7 |
Dundee United
|
33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | -9 | -11.9 | 40 |
| 8 |
Aberdeen
|
34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | -14 | -14.1 | 36 |
| 9 |
Dundee
|
33 | 8 | 9 | 16 | -19 | -10.5 | 33 |
| 10 |
St Mirren
|
34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | -23 | -3.4 | 30 |
| 11 |
Kilmarnock
|
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -29 | -14.5 | 28 |
| 12 |
Livingston
|
34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | -29 | -17.5 | 19 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celtic
St Mirren
Dundee
Celtic
Dundee United
Celtic
Celtic
Motherwell
Aberdeen
Celtic
R Lee · 22 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.