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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

Dundee United

U U S T T

0–3

Full-time

Hearts

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 22/23 matches

Win Ø 44%

23%

65%

Points per game

1,1

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

45%

52%

Both score Ø 54%

59%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,16 xG 4,17

30% Possession 70%

3 Shots 22

2 Shots on target 12

0 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 2

0 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 1

2 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dundee United 8. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	23	15	6	2	+25	+8.3	51
2	Rangers	23	13	8	2	+20	+6.3	47
3	Celtic	23	14	3	6	+18	+10.2	45
4	Motherwell	24	11	10	3	+20	+9.3	43
5	Hibernian	23	9	8	6	+10	-0.4	35
6	Falkirk	23	9	6	8	-2	+2.7	33
7	Aberdeen	24	8	4	12	-7	-9.2	28
8	Dundee United	22	5	10	7	-6	-7.2	25
9	Dundee	24	6	5	13	-18	-7.2	23
10	St Mirren	23	4	8	11	-14	+1.9	20
11	Kilmarnock	24	3	8	13	-20	-7.1	17
12	Livingston	24	1	8	15	-26	-7.6	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	12	8	4	0	+16	+5.3	28
2	Motherwell	12	8	3	1	+17	+9.6	27
3	Celtic	11	8	1	2	+17	+9.5	25
4	Rangers	12	7	4	1	+9	+7.3	25
5	Hibernian	11	5	4	2	+10	+2.9	19
6	Falkirk	12	4	5	3	+3	+4.9	17
7	Aberdeen	12	4	4	4	+4	-4.4	16
8	Dundee	11	5	1	5	-2	-1.0	16
9	St Mirren	12	3	5	4	-3	+4.3	14
10	Dundee United	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.5	13
11	Kilmarnock	12	2	3	7	-8	-1.2	9
12	Livingston	12	1	4	7	-8	-1.8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	11	7	2	2	+9	+3.0	23
2	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+11	-1.0	22
3	Celtic	12	6	2	4	+1	+0.7	20
4	Motherwell	12	3	7	2	+3	-0.4	16
5	Hibernian	12	4	4	4	+0	-3.2	16
6	Falkirk	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.2	16
7	Dundee United	11	2	6	3	-4	-4.7	12
8	Aberdeen	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.7	12
9	Kilmarnock	12	1	5	6	-12	-5.9	8
10	Dundee	13	1	4	8	-16	-6.2	7
11	St Mirren	11	1	3	7	-11	-2.4	6
12	Livingston	12	0	4	8	-18	-5.8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.