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Premiership

Referee: C Scott

Aberdeen

S T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Dundee United

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Dundee United

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 17/18 matches

Win Ø 32%

41%

22%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

35%

44%

Both score Ø 48%

35%

61%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,48 xG 0,99

72% Possession 28%

14 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 6. · Dundee United 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	12	5	2	+21	+7.4	41
2	Celtic	18	12	2	4	+17	+8.4	38
3	Rangers	18	8	8	2	+10	+3.5	32
4	Motherwell	19	7	9	3	+10	+5.6	30
5	Hibernian	19	7	7	5	+9	-0.1	28
6	Aberdeen	17	7	3	7	-1	-5.3	24
7	Falkirk	19	6	6	7	-7	-1.1	24
8	Dundee United	18	4	9	5	-3	-3.9	21
9	St Mirren	17	4	6	7	-7	+3.6	18
10	Dundee	19	4	4	11	-16	-8.1	16
11	Kilmarnock	19	2	7	10	-16	-6.4	13
12	Livingston	18	1	6	11	-17	-3.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+15	+7.0	22
2	Hearts	9	6	3	0	+13	+3.1	21
3	Motherwell	9	5	3	1	+9	+7.0	18
4	Rangers	9	4	4	1	+3	+5.6	16
5	Hibernian	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
6	Dundee United	10	3	4	3	-1	-1.7	13
7	St Mirren	10	3	4	3	-1	+4.8	13
8	Dundee	9	4	1	4	-2	-2.4	13
9	Aberdeen	9	3	3	3	+2	-3.9	12
10	Falkirk	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
11	Kilmarnock	10	1	3	6	-9	-1.1	6
12	Livingston	8	1	2	5	-4	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.3	20
2	Rangers	9	4	4	1	+7	-2.2	16
3	Celtic	9	5	1	3	+2	+1.3	16
4	Hibernian	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.8	13
5	Falkirk	10	4	1	5	-7	-2.2	13
6	Motherwell	10	2	6	2	+1	-1.4	12
7	Aberdeen	8	4	0	4	-3	-1.4	12
8	Dundee United	8	1	5	2	-2	-2.1	8
9	Kilmarnock	9	1	4	4	-7	-5.3	7
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	10	0	4	6	-13	-3.8	4
12	Dundee	10	0	3	7	-14	-5.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.