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Ligue 2
Referee: A Valnet
St Etienne
U T U S T
0–1
Full-time
Boulogne
U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Boulogne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
4 Shots 18
0 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 7
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 4. · Boulogne 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 21 12 5 4 +13 41
2 Reims 21 11 5 5 +14 38
3 Le Mans 21 10 8 3 +8 38
4 St Etienne 20 10 4 6 +10 34
5 Red Star 20 9 7 4 +8 34
6 Dunkerque 21 9 6 6 +12 33
7 Guingamp 21 9 5 7 +0 32
8 Annecy 21 9 4 8 +6 31
9 Montpellier 21 9 4 8 +3 31
10 Pau FC 21 8 7 6 -3 31
11 Rodez 21 6 9 6 -3 27
12 Grenoble 21 6 7 8 -5 25
13 Clermont 21 5 7 9 -5 22
14 Nancy 21 6 4 11 -11 22
15 Boulogne 20 5 5 10 -10 20
16 Amiens 21 5 4 12 -9 19
17 Laval 21 3 7 11 -15 16
18 Bastia 20 3 6 11 -13 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Aug -25 Boulogne – St Etienne 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,52
U
4,09
B ✓
5,42
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,66
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Valnet · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.