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La Liga

Referee: J Alberola

Oviedo

U U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Girona

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oviedo Girona

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 20%

10%

29%

Points per game

0,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

33%

52%

Both score Ø 43%

29%

57%

Average goals

2,1

2,7

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,40 xG 0,65

34% Possession 66%

8 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Oviedo 20. · Girona 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	17	1	3	+35	+22.8	52
2	Real Madrid	21	16	3	2	+28	+26.8	51
3	Ath Madrid	21	13	5	3	+21	+10.0	44
4	Villarreal	20	13	2	5	+16	+7.3	41
5	Espanol	22	10	4	8	-1	+3.2	34
6	Betis	21	8	8	5	+7	+6.3	32
7	Celta	21	8	8	5	+6	-0.0	32
8	Sociedad	21	7	6	8	+0	-1.2	27
9	Osasuna	21	7	4	10	-1	-3.0	25
10	Alaves	22	7	4	11	-7	-2.6	25
11	Girona	21	6	7	8	-14	-11.3	25
12	Elche	21	5	9	7	+0	-10.2	24
13	Sevilla	21	7	3	11	-5	-9.8	24
14	Ath Bilbao	21	7	3	11	-10	+5.9	24
15	Valencia	21	5	8	8	-11	-1.1	23
16	Vallecano	21	5	7	9	-11	+1.2	22
17	Getafe	21	6	4	11	-11	-7.2	22
18	Mallorca	21	5	6	10	-9	-12.7	21
19	Levante	20	4	5	11	-10	-7.1	17
20	Oviedo	21	2	7	12	-23	-17.2	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	11	10	1	0	+19	+13.9	31
2	Barcelona	10	10	0	0	+26	+16.2	30
3	Real Madrid	10	9	0	1	+17	+15.6	27
4	Villarreal	11	8	1	2	+14	+5.8	25
5	Elche	11	5	5	1	+9	+1.2	20
6	Osasuna	10	6	2	2	+7	+2.1	20
7	Betis	10	6	1	3	+9	+5.9	19
8	Espanol	12	6	1	5	-2	+1.6	19
9	Alaves	11	5	3	3	+3	+1.4	18
10	Valencia	11	4	5	2	+4	+8.7	17
11	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	+2	+0.0	17
12	Mallorca	10	4	4	2	+1	-0.8	16
13	Ath Bilbao	10	5	1	4	-1	+7.2	16
14	Celta	11	3	5	3	+3	+1.4	14
15	Sevilla	11	4	1	6	-1	-1.5	13
16	Girona	11	3	4	4	-8	-7.7	13
17	Vallecano	10	2	6	2	-1	+5.4	12
18	Getafe	10	3	2	5	-1	-4.2	11
19	Oviedo	10	1	5	4	-8	-9.2	8
20	Levante	9	1	3	5	-9	-4.9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+11	+11.2	24
2	Barcelona	11	7	1	3	+9	+6.6	22
3	Celta	10	5	3	2	+3	-1.4	18
4	Villarreal	9	5	1	3	+2	+1.5	16
5	Espanol	10	4	3	3	+1	+1.7	15
6	Ath Madrid	10	3	4	3	+2	-3.8	13
7	Betis	11	2	7	2	-2	+0.3	13
8	Girona	10	3	3	4	-6	-3.7	12
9	Levante	11	3	2	6	-1	-2.1	11
10	Sevilla	10	3	2	5	-4	-8.4	11
11	Getafe	11	3	2	6	-10	-3.0	11
12	Sociedad	10	2	4	4	-2	-1.2	10
13	Vallecano	11	3	1	7	-10	-4.2	10
14	Ath Bilbao	11	2	2	7	-9	-1.4	8
15	Alaves	11	2	1	8	-10	-4.0	7
16	Valencia	10	1	3	6	-15	-9.7	6
17	Osasuna	11	1	2	8	-8	-5.1	5
18	Mallorca	11	1	2	8	-10	-11.8	5
19	Oviedo	11	1	2	8	-15	-8.0	5
20	Elche	10	0	4	6	-9	-11.5	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.