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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Dundee United
U U T U S
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
24%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 53%
59%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
1,4
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,05 xG 1,05
41% Possession 59%
12 Shots 23
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 7
1 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 8. · Hibernian 5.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hearts 17 11 5 1 +21 +5.8 38
2 Celtic 16 10 2 4 +13 +4.0 32
3 Rangers 16 7 8 1 +10 +1.0 29
4 Motherwell 17 6 9 2 +10 +7.1 27
5 Hibernian 17 6 6 5 +8 +0.9 24
6 Aberdeen 16 7 3 6 +1 -2.7 24
7 Falkirk 17 5 6 6 -7 -1.2 21
8 Dundee United 17 4 8 5 -3 -3.9 20
9 St Mirren 15 3 5 7 -8 +0.3 14
10 Dundee 17 3 4 10 -16 -7.1 13
11 Kilmarnock 17 2 6 9 -15 -4.4 12
12 Livingston 16 1 6 9 -14 -0.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Hibernian
D. Naamo 🔁
↦ R. Strain
5′
1–0 L. Stephenson
M. Watters
20′
38′
M. Boyle 1–1
Z. Mitchell
Half-time 1–1
S. Cleall-Harding 🔁
↦ K. Keresztes
46′
Luca Stephenson 🟨
62′
K. Trapanovski 🔁
↦ M. Watters
63′
N. Moller 🔁
↦ A. Fatah
63′
63′
🔁 T. Klidje
↦ J. McGrath
63′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ D. Barlaser
64′
🔁 D. Levitt
↦ M. Boyle
B. Esselink 🔁
↦ R. Graham
69′
Sam Cleall-Harding 🟨
72′
75′
🟨 Jack Iredale
83′
🔁 T. Youan
↦ K. Bowie
83′
🔁 J. Hoilett
↦ N. Cadden
89′
🟨 Thibault Klidje
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

3-4-2-1
25 D. Richards G
5 V. Sevelj D
6 R. Graham D
23 K. Keresztes D
2 R. Strain M
14 C. Sibbald M
21 L. Stephenson M
11 W. Ferry M
9 Z. Sapsford F
17 A. Fatah F
36 M. Watters F
Bench (9)
31 R. Adams
3 B. Esselink
7 K. Trapanovski
10 J. Eskesen
19 I. Dolcek
22 D. Naamo
34 O. Stirton
37 S. Cleall-Harding
77 N. Moller

Coach: Jim Goodwin

Hibernian

5-3-2
1 R. Sallinger G
27 K. Megwa D
24 Z. Mitchell D
4 G. Hanley D
15 J. Iredale D
19 N. Cadden D
20 J. Mulligan M
22 D. Barlaser M
17 J. McGrath M
10 M. Boyle F
9 K. Bowie F
Bench (9)
13 J. Smith
6 D. Levitt
7 T. Youan
8 A. Manneh
11 J. Newell
18 T. Klidje
23 J. Hoilett
32 J. Campbell
5 L. Gillie

Coach: David Gray

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,39
U ✓
3,43
B
2,07
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,85
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.