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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Hearts

S S T S S

2–0

Full-time

St Mirren

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts St Mirren

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 44%

67%

20%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

52%

35%

Both score Ø 44%

48%

40%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%

14 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

7 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 1. · St Mirren 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	21	14	5	2	+23	+7.7	47
2	Rangers	22	12	8	2	+17	+4.6	44
3	Celtic	21	13	2	6	+17	+10.8	41
4	Motherwell	22	9	10	3	+14	+6.7	37
5	Hibernian	22	9	8	5	+13	+2.0	35
6	Falkirk	21	8	6	7	-4	+0.4	30
7	Dundee United	22	5	10	7	-6	-7.2	25
8	Aberdeen	22	7	4	11	-8	-7.8	25
9	Dundee	22	6	4	12	-15	-6.0	22
10	St Mirren	20	4	6	10	-12	+2.4	18
11	Kilmarnock	22	2	8	12	-19	-7.6	14
12	Livingston	21	1	7	13	-20	-5.9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	11	8	1	2	+17	+9.5	25
2	Hearts	10	7	3	0	+14	+4.7	24
3	Motherwell	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.3	24
4	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+6	+5.6	22
5	Hibernian	11	5	4	2	+10	+2.9	19
6	Dundee	11	5	1	5	-2	-1.0	16
7	Falkirk	10	3	5	2	+1	+2.6	14
8	Aberdeen	11	3	4	4	+0	-4.9	13
9	Dundee United	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.5	13
10	St Mirren	11	3	4	4	-3	+4.8	13
11	Livingston	10	1	3	6	-6	-0.5	6
12	Kilmarnock	11	1	3	7	-11	-3.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	11	7	2	2	+9	+3.0	23
2	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+11	-1.0	22
3	Hibernian	11	4	4	3	+3	-0.9	16
4	Celtic	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.3	16
5	Falkirk	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.2	16
6	Motherwell	11	2	7	2	+1	-1.6	13
7	Dundee United	11	2	6	3	-4	-4.7	12
8	Aberdeen	11	4	0	7	-8	-2.9	12
9	Kilmarnock	11	1	5	5	-8	-4.6	8
10	Dundee	11	1	3	7	-13	-4.9	6
11	St Mirren	9	1	2	6	-9	-2.4	5
12	Livingston	11	0	4	7	-14	-5.4	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.