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Premiership

Referee: R Lee

Dundee

U T S S S

0–1

Full-time

Hearts

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Hearts

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 21/20 matches

Win Ø 47%

29%

65%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

48%

55%

Both score Ø 47%

43%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

0,9

2,0

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,55 xG 0,24

52% Possession 48%

17 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Dundee 9. · Hearts 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	20	13	5	2	+22	+9.0	44
2	Celtic	21	13	2	6	+17	+10.8	41
3	Rangers	21	11	8	2	+15	+3.2	41
4	Motherwell	22	9	10	3	+14	+6.7	37
5	Hibernian	22	9	8	5	+13	+2.0	35
6	Falkirk	21	8	6	7	-4	+0.4	30
7	Dundee United	22	5	10	7	-6	-7.2	25
8	Aberdeen	21	7	4	10	-6	-6.3	25
9	Dundee	21	6	4	11	-14	-7.3	22
10	St Mirren	20	4	6	10	-12	+2.4	18
11	Kilmarnock	22	2	8	12	-19	-7.6	14
12	Livingston	21	1	7	13	-20	-5.9	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	11	8	1	2	+17	+9.5	25
2	Hearts	10	7	3	0	+14	+4.7	24
3	Motherwell	11	7	3	1	+13	+8.3	24
4	Rangers	11	6	4	1	+6	+5.6	22
5	Hibernian	11	5	4	2	+10	+2.9	19
6	Dundee	10	5	1	4	-1	-2.4	16
7	Falkirk	10	3	5	2	+1	+2.6	14
8	Aberdeen	10	3	4	3	+2	-3.4	13
9	Dundee United	11	3	4	4	-2	-2.5	13
10	St Mirren	11	3	4	4	-3	+4.8	13
11	Livingston	10	1	3	6	-6	-0.5	6
12	Kilmarnock	11	1	3	7	-11	-3.1	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.3	20
2	Rangers	10	5	4	1	+9	-2.5	19
3	Hibernian	11	4	4	3	+3	-0.9	16
4	Celtic	10	5	1	4	+0	+1.3	16
5	Falkirk	11	5	1	5	-5	-2.2	16
6	Motherwell	11	2	7	2	+1	-1.6	13
7	Dundee United	11	2	6	3	-4	-4.7	12
8	Aberdeen	11	4	0	7	-8	-2.9	12
9	Kilmarnock	11	1	5	5	-8	-4.6	8
10	Dundee	11	1	3	7	-13	-4.9	6
11	St Mirren	9	1	2	6	-9	-2.4	5
12	Livingston	11	0	4	7	-14	-5.4	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.