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Süper Lig

Referee: O Guldibi

Goztep

T S S S U

2–1

Full-time

Karagumruk

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Goztep Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

1,7

0,5

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 32%

53%

11%

Points per game

1,9

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

32%

47%

Both score Ø 42%

37%

47%

Average goals

1,9

2,8

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,6

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

0,85 xG 1,14

44% Possession 56%

19 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Goztep 4. · Karagumruk 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	19	14	4	1	+29	+20.4	46
2	Fenerbahce	19	12	7	0	+26	+24.3	43
3	Trabzonspor	20	12	6	2	+15	+3.0	42
4	Goztep	19	10	6	3	+14	+2.2	36
5	Besiktas	19	9	6	4	+9	+17.1	33
6	Buyuksehyr	20	8	6	6	+13	+2.7	30
7	Samsunspor	20	7	9	4	+3	+7.2	30
8	Gaziantep	19	6	7	6	-6	-2.6	25
9	Kocaelispor	19	6	6	7	-3	-0.3	24
10	Alanyaspor	20	4	10	6	-2	-3.8	22
11	Rizespor	20	4	8	8	-6	-1.0	20
12	Antalyaspor	20	5	5	10	-14	-12.2	20
13	Genclerbirligi	19	5	4	10	-4	-9.0	19
14	Konyaspor	19	4	7	8	-8	-4.0	19
15	Eyüpspor	20	4	6	10	-12	-9.3	18
16	Kasimpasa	20	3	7	10	-12	-9.6	16
17	Kayserispor	19	2	9	8	-21	-11.4	15
18	Karagumruk	19	2	3	14	-21	-13.9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	10	7	3	0	+14	+12.1	24
2	Trabzonspor	10	6	4	0	+11	+6.3	22
3	Fenerbahce	9	6	3	0	+12	+16.6	21
4	Goztep	9	5	3	1	+8	+3.0	18
5	Kocaelispor	10	5	3	2	+4	+6.0	18
6	Besiktas	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.4	17
7	Buyuksehyr	10	3	5	2	+4	+1.7	14
8	Genclerbirligi	9	4	2	3	+2	+2.3	14
9	Samsunspor	10	3	5	2	+0	+6.8	14
10	Alanyaspor	10	3	3	4	+0	-1.7	12
11	Gaziantep	10	3	3	4	-5	+2.6	12
12	Rizespor	10	3	2	5	-4	+4.5	11
13	Konyaspor	10	2	4	4	-2	+1.0	10
14	Eyüpspor	10	2	4	4	-6	-1.3	10
15	Antalyaspor	10	2	2	6	-12	-4.4	8
16	Kayserispor	9	1	3	5	-15	-5.2	6
17	Kasimpasa	10	0	5	5	-7	-0.6	5
18	Karagumruk	10	1	2	7	-10	-4.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	9	7	1	1	+15	+8.3	22
2	Fenerbahce	10	6	4	0	+14	+7.6	22
3	Trabzonspor	10	6	2	2	+4	-3.2	20
4	Goztep	10	5	3	2	+6	-0.8	18
5	Buyuksehyr	10	5	1	4	+9	+1.0	16
6	Besiktas	10	4	4	2	+5	+7.7	16
7	Samsunspor	10	4	4	2	+3	+0.4	16
8	Gaziantep	9	3	4	2	-1	-5.1	13
9	Antalyaspor	10	3	3	4	-2	-7.8	12
10	Kasimpasa	10	3	2	5	-5	-9.0	11
11	Alanyaspor	10	1	7	2	-2	-2.1	10
12	Rizespor	10	1	6	3	-2	-5.5	9
13	Konyaspor	9	2	3	4	-6	-4.9	9
14	Kayserispor	10	1	6	3	-6	-6.2	9
15	Eyüpspor	10	2	2	6	-6	-8.0	8
16	Kocaelispor	9	1	3	5	-7	-6.3	6
17	Genclerbirligi	10	1	2	7	-6	-11.3	5
18	Karagumruk	9	1	1	7	-11	-9.1	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.