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Serie B
Referee: G Mucera
Empoli
S U S T T
0–0
Full-time
Modena
T T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Modena
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Serie B · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 38%
33%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
48%
43%
Both score Ø 48%
52%
43%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,99 xG 0,93
46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Empoli 10. · Modena 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Frosinone 21 13 6 2 +21 +3.7 45
2 Venezia 21 13 5 3 +24 +19.2 44
3 Palermo 22 11 8 3 +19 +7.4 41
4 Monza 21 12 5 4 +15 +7.5 41
5 Cesena 21 10 4 7 +4 +5.0 34
6 Modena 21 9 6 6 +11 +5.4 33
7 Juve Stabia 21 8 9 4 +1 +1.2 33
8 Catanzaro 21 8 8 5 +3 -2.2 32
9 Carrarese 21 7 8 6 +0 -4.5 29
10 Empoli 21 7 6 8 -2 +0.4 27
11 Sudtirol 21 5 10 6 +0 -3.5 25
12 Padova 21 6 7 8 -5 -4.0 25
13 Avellino 21 6 7 8 -10 -8.3 25
14 Reggiana 21 5 5 11 -7 -2.9 20
15 Spezia 21 5 5 11 -9 +1.1 20
16 Virtus Entella 21 4 8 9 -10 -5.6 20
17 Bari 22 4 8 10 -16 -12.3 20
18 Sampdoria 21 4 7 10 -8 +1.0 19
19 Mantova 21 5 4 12 -14 -5.9 19
20 Pescara 21 2 8 11 -17 -2.7 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -25 Modena – Empoli 2–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,45
U ✓
3,14
B
2,11
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Mucera · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.