Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Winterthur
Lausanne
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Thun
|
21 | 15 | 1 | 5 | +21 | +1.3 | 46 |
| 2 |
Lugano
|
21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | +11 | +0.1 | 39 |
| 3 |
St. Gallen
|
20 | 12 | 1 | 7 | +14 | +3.1 | 37 |
| 4 |
Basel
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | +9 | +11.2 | 36 |
| 5 |
Sion
|
21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +6 | +4.2 | 32 |
| 6 |
Young Boys
|
21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | -5 | -1.1 | 29 |
| 7 |
Lausanne
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | +3 | +6.7 | 28 |
| 8 |
Zurich
|
21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -8 | +3.4 | 25 |
| 9 |
Servette
|
21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | -5 | +3.3 | 24 |
| 10 |
Luzern
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -3 | -3.8 | 22 |
| 11 |
Grasshoppers
|
21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -11 | -12.9 | 18 |
| 12 |
Winterthur
|
20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | -32 | -15.4 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Coach: Patrick Rahmen
K. Letica
G
B. Soppy
D
K. Mouanga
D
K. Sow
D
F. Mollet
M
J. Roche
M
O. Custodio
M
G. Diakite
M
S. Traore
F
N. Butler-Oyedeji
F
Coach: Peter Zeidler
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lugano
Winterthur
Sion
Winterthur
Winterthur
Thun
Zurich
Winterthur
Winterthur
Basel
A Dudic · 93 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.