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Copa del Rey

Ciudad de Lucena

0–6

Full-time

Villarreal

U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ciudad de Lucena Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%

10 Shots 20

2 Shots on target 12

2 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 6

11 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	3	2	0	1	+4	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
22	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
23	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
28	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
29	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
30	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
31	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
32	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
33	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
36	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
37	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
38	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
39	Portugalete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
40	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
41	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
42	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
43	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
44	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
45	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
46	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
47	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
52	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
53	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
54	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
55	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
56	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
57	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
58	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
59	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
60	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
61	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
62	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
71	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
72	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
78	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
79	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
80	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
81	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
82	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
83	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
84	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
85	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
86	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
87	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
88	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
89	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
90	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
91	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
92	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Numancia	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Torrent	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Sant Just	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Navalcarnero	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Sant Andreu	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Portugalete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Cieza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
19	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
20	Atlético Astorga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	UD Ourense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Reddis	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
30	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Caudal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Puente Genil	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Náxara	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Lorca Deportiva	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	Azuaga	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
53	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	Eibar	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Almeria	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Mallorca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sp Gijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Cartagena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Mirandes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Pontevedra	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Europa Fc	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Mérida AD	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Teruel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Cordoba	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Juventud Torremolinos	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Arenas Getxo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.