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Copa del Rey

Lorca Deportiva

0–2

Full-time

Almeria

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorca Deportiva Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,5

Scored

0,0

1,7

Conceded

4,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-4,0

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
32	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
34	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
35	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
41	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
44	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
56	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
63	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
21	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lorca Deportiva Almeria

F. Tafalla 🟨

23′

26′

🟨 M. Perovic

G. Lopez 🟨

36′

45′

⚽ M. Perovic 0–1

Thalys

Half-time 0–1

S. Erimuya 🔁

↦ Fromsa

46′

S. Fernandez 🔁

↦ F. Tafalla

46′

J. Naranjo 🔁

↦ T. Ingles

46′

A. Heredia 🔁

↦ G. Lopez

57′

63′

🔁 D. Lopy

↦ M. Perovic

63′

🔁 N. Melamed

↦ L. Robertone

63′

🔁 A. Embarba

↦ A. Puigmal

W. Ibanez 🔁

↦ Á. Martinez Nicolas

65′

J. Acevedo 🟨

66′

74′

🔁 P. Soko

↦ Gui Guedes

81′

🔁 D. Chirino

↦ M. Luna

85′

🟨 D. Lopy

90′

⚽ A. Embarba 0–2

N. Melamed

Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lorca Deportiva

13 F. Arbol

5 H. Galiano

12 J. Escobar Hernandez

15 Fromsa

8 Á. Martinez Nicolas

16 F. Lopez

10 D. Albiar

18 F. Tafalla

24 J. Acevedo

T. Ingles

19 G. Lopez

Bench (11)

3 Morros

4 S. Erimuya

6 S. Fernandez

9 A. Carrasco

17 J. Naranjo

20 W. Ibanez

1 E. Juskevicius

21 A. Heredia

26 J. Chourio

30 S. Tomlinson

31 I. Garcia

Almeria

F. Martinez

M. Luna

32 P. Fidel Cedillo Segura

24 L. Robertone

20 A. Centelles

S. Clua

A. Puigmal

Gui Guedes

M. Perovic

15 A. Hernandez

Thalys

Bench (11)

31 B. Iribarne

3 A. Munoz

4 N. Monte

18 F. Bonini

22 D. Chirino

29 S. Dzodic

17 D. Lopy

10 N. Melamed

11 S. Arribas

23 A. Embarba

19 P. Soko

Coach: Joan Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

31. Oct CDR 2 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Lorca Deportiva

Almeria

Odds comparison

Recent matches