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Puchar Polski
Referee: P Raczkowski
Puszcza
T T T U S
1–3
Full-time
Lechia Gdansk
S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Puszcza Lechia Gdansk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
5,0
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
3,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Puchar Polski · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Puszcza 19. · Lechia Gdansk 22.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Polonia Bytom 3 3 0 0 +14 9
2 Chojniczanka Chojnice 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Avia Świdnik 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Korona Kielce 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 GKS Katowice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
7 Hutnik Kraków 3 2 0 1 +3 6
8 Piast Gliwice 2 2 0 0 +3 6
9 Slask Wroclaw 2 2 0 0 +2 6
10 Wisla 2 2 0 0 +2 6
11 Jastrzębie 2 1 1 0 +2 4
12 Widzew Lodz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
13 Olimpia Grudziądz 3 1 1 1 +1 4
14 Świt Skolwin 3 1 1 1 +0 4
15 Cracovia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Gornik Zabrze 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Legnica 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 LKS Lodz 2 1 0 1 +1 3
19 Puszcza 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 Arka Gdynia 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Lechia Gdansk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Gryf Słupsk 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Stal Stalowa Wola 2 1 0 1 +0 3
25 Podbeskidzie 2 1 0 1 +0 3
26 Odra Opole 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Znicz Pruszków 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 Wikielec 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Goczałkowice Zdrój B 2 1 0 1 -5 3
31 Nieciecza 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 ŁKS Łódź II 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Flota Świnoujście 2 0 1 1 -3 1
35 Stal Mielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
36 Resovia Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Małapanew 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Lechia T. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Motor Lublin 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Olimpia Elbląg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Stal Rzeszów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Polonia Warszawa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Korona Kielce II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Odra Bytom Odrzański 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Chrobry Głogów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Wisla Plock 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Miedź Legnica II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Ruch Chorzow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Radomiak Radom 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Pogoń Siedlce 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Kalisz 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Łomża 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1 0 0 1 -3 0
60 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -3 0
61 Beskid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
62 Górnik Łęczna 1 0 0 1 -4 0
63 Zagłębie Lubin II 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Puszcza Lechia Gdansk
L. Solowiej 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
Kikis 🔁
↦ O. Korczakowski
61′
N. Barczak 🔁
↦ L. Solowiej
61′
F. Nascimento 🔁
↦ E. Francois
61′
62′
🔁 A. Cirkovic
↦ B. Viunnyk
62′
🔁 C. Mena
↦ K. Sezonienko
62′
🔁 T. Bobcek
↦ D. Kurminowski
64′
M. Dyachuk 0–1
I. Zhelizko
K. Iwao 🔁
↦ A. Basse
66′
K. Stepien 🔁
↦ K. Przybylko
74′
1–1 Kikis
K. Iwao
74′
R. Kanach 🟨
84′
M. Walski 🟨
94′
99′
🔁 M. Glogowski
↦ M. Awad
110′
🔁 R. Kapic
↦ T. Neugebauer
115′
T. Bobcek 1–2
120′
A. Cirkovic 1–3
R. Kapic
🟨
123′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Puszcza

31 M. Perchel
23 K. Przybylko
34 A. Piekarski
27 L. Solowiej
8 P. Mrozinski
16 M. Walski
13 R. Kanach
11 O. Korczakowski
7 M. Stepien
18 E. Francois
21 A. Basse
Bench (9)
97 W. Kowal
2 K. Kasolik
5 K. Stepien
17 K. Iwao
19 J. Stec
22 Kikis
28 I. Pieprzyca
67 N. Barczak
88 F. Nascimento

Coach: Tomasz Tulacz

Lechia Gdansk

18 A. Paulsen
33 T. Wojtowicz
15 M. Dyachuk
3 E. Olsson
23 M. Kalahur
5 I. Zhelizko
99 T. Neugebauer
79 K. Sezonienko
72 M. Awad
7 B. Viunnyk
90 D. Kurminowski
Bench (9)
1 S. Weirauch
2 B. Kludka
4 B. Pllana
8 A. Cirkovic
10 R. Kapic
11 C. Mena
21 M. Glogowski
80 M. Rodin
89 T. Bobcek

Coach: John Carver

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Raczkowski · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.