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Copa del Rey
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Navalcarnero Mérida AD
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
32 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
34 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
35 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
41 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
42 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
43 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
44 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
56 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
62 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
63 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.