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Copa del Rey
1–2
Full-time
Sabadell
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Poblense Sabadell
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
100%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
100%
17%
Average goals
7,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
6,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-5,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
27 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
30 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
33 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
34 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
35 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
36 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
37 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
41 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
42 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
43 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
45 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
46 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
47 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
48 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
49 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
50 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
51 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
53 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Poblense Sabadell
11′
R. Martinez 0–1
31′
🟨 Arthur
1–1 Dieguito
32′
Half-time 1–1
60′
🔁 T. Ripoll
↦ C. Aleman
60′
🔁 D. Astals
↦ J. Ortega
60′
🔁 A. Orriols Cerarols
↦ M. A. Ramirez Carrasco
T. Giaquinto 🔁
↦ G. Lopez
64′
T. Penyafort 🔁
↦ J. Suasi
64′
71′
🔁 A. Coscia
↦ Rodri
71′
🔁 J. Lopez
↦ R. Martinez
Xesc Fullana 🔁
↦ A. Fernandez Broens
79′
D. Nieto 🔁
↦ Dieguito
80′
J. Payeras 🔁
↦ J. Salva
88′
A. Pons 🔁
↦ J. Prohens
91′
101′
🔁 Q. Liameed
↦ S. Cortes
D. Nieto 🟨
102′
109′
J. Lopez 1–2
T. Giaquinto 🟨
111′
🟨
124′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Poblense

1 V. Sabater
6 J. Salva
4 M. Garcia
15 J. Vidal Crespi
20 J. Suasi
10 Dieguito
18 G. Lopez
8 M. Femenias
7 O. Riera
19 A. Fernandez Broens
9 J. Prohens
Bench (10)
30 F. Cruz
2 V. Villar
3 J. Payeras
5 T. Giaquinto
11 A. Pons
14 D. Rigo
16 Payeras Marti
17 Xesc Fullana
21 D. Nieto
23 T. Penyafort

Sabadell

13 J. Ortega
2 C. Aleman
5 Bonaldo
15 J. C. Lazaro Cervera
21 Sergi
11 R. Martinez
18 J. Ortega
8 S. Cortes
23 J. Priego
10 M. A. Ramirez Carrasco
9 Rodri
Bench (9)
1 D. Fuoli
7 T. Ripoll
14 D. Astals
17 A. Coscia
19 J. Lopez
22 Q. Liameed
20 A. Orriols Cerarols
27 L. Estebe
29 J. Utges

Coach: Ferran Costa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.