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Copa del Rey

Atlético Astorga

S T

1–1

Full-time

Mirandes

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Atlético Astorga Mirandes

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	3	2	0	1	-2	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Maracena	3	1	1	1	-3	4
8	Inter de Valdemoro	3	1	1	1	-9	4
9	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
10	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
21	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	SD Negreira	3	1	0	2	+0	3
32	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
34	Los Garres	3	1	0	2	-4	3
35	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
39	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
40	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
41	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
42	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
43	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
44	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
56	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
57	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
58	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
59	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
62	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
63	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ourense CF	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Extremadura 1924	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Guadalajara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Maracena	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	CD Sant Jordi	2	1	0	1	-4	3
14	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Ebro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Langreo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Inter de Valdemoro	2	0	1	1	-11	1
21	Constància	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Poblense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	Atlético Tordesillas	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Ucam Murcia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Tropezón	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Mutilvera	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	La Unión Atlético	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Rayo Majadahonda	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Toledo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Utebo	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	San Fernando CD	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Roda	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	SD Logroñés	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	RSD Alcalá	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Granada	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Elche	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Santander	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Tenerife	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	CF Talavera	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Huesca	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Cadiz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Cultural Leonesa	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Zaragoza	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Ceuta	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	Girona	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Sabadell	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Burgos	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Tarazona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Ferrol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Cacereño	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Oviedo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Atlético Astorga Mirandes

Half-time 0–0

J. Lopes 🟨

48′

58′

⚽ G. Petit 0–1

A. S. Cabral 🟨

60′

J. Jimenez 🟨

65′

I. Vales 🔁

↦ A. El Battioui

65′

M. Sanchez 🔁

↦ A. Cervero

65′

D. Alvarez 🟨

74′

A. Alvarez 🔁

↦ A. S. Cabral

74′

Canito 🔁

↦ S. Fernandez

74′

83′

🔁 I. Barea Fernandez

↦ A. Martin Luis

84′

🔁 A. Pica

↦ I. Varela

A. Ribeiro 🔁

↦ D. Alvarez

85′

87′

🟨 A. Pica

1–1 A. Alvarez ⚽

90′

105′

🟨 I. Barea Fernandez

I. Moustarih 🔁

↦ Albertin

106′

🔁 S. Gabriel

↦ S. El Jebari

110′

🔁 A. Camara

↦ G. Petit

121′

🟨 J. Gutierrez

121′

🔁 H. Alutiz

↦

Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Atlético Astorga

1 D. Llamazares

3 D. Ceinos

4 J. Lopes

7 S. Fernandez

22 Selles

6 Albertin

10 D. Alvarez

15 A. S. Cabral

18 J. Jimenez

9 A. El Battioui

20 A. Cervero

Bench (10)

13 M. Cascajo

2 D. Rodriguez

14 M. A. Manso

21 I. Vales

17 A. Alvarez

19 A. Ribeiro

24 I. Moustarih

23 M. Sanchez

16 Canito

11 J. Alvarez

Coach: Luis Lago Herrero Jose

Mirandes

Juanpa

T. Tamarit

J. Gutierrez

21 S. Postigo

F. Medrano

7 I. Varela

M. Illescas

30 S. El Jebari

A. Martin Luis

G. Petit

20 E. Eto'o

Bench (7)

1 I. Nikic

5 A. Pica

18 I. Barea Fernandez

32 S. Gabriel

36 H. Alutiz

41 A. Maiga

44 A. Camara

Coach: Antxon Muneta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5

–

🔒

U2,5 ✓

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

6. Dec CDR 2 years ago

1. Nov CDR 2 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Atlético Astorga

Mirandes

Odds comparison

Recent matches