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DBU Pokalen
Referee: J Maae
Esbjerg
S T S S S
0–0
Full-time
Randers FC
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Esbjerg Randers FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — DBU Pokalen · 3/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Esbjerg 5. · Randers FC 40.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Odense 3 3 0 0 +17 9
2 Aarhus Fremad 4 3 0 1 +12 9
3 Vejle 3 3 0 0 +11 9
4 Hobro 4 3 0 1 +3 9
5 Esbjerg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 Viborg 3 2 1 0 +7 7
7 Fredericia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Brønshøj 4 2 1 1 +1 7
9 Lyseng 4 2 1 1 -2 7
10 Sonderjyske 2 2 0 0 +11 6
11 VSK Århus 3 2 0 1 +8 6
12 Holbæk B&I 3 2 0 1 +7 6
13 Roskilde 3 2 0 1 +6 6
14 Silkeborg 2 2 0 0 +6 6
15 Hillerød 3 2 0 1 +5 6
16 HIK 3 2 0 1 +5 6
17 Thisted FC 3 2 0 1 +5 6
18 FC Copenhagen 2 2 0 0 +5 6
19 Kolding IF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
20 Sundby 3 2 0 1 +3 6
21 Aalborg 3 2 0 1 +3 6
22 Ringsted 3 2 0 1 +2 6
23 Oksbøl 3 2 0 1 +1 6
24 Hvidovre IF 3 2 0 1 +1 6
25 Kolding B 3 2 0 1 -1 6
26 B 93 3 1 1 1 +7 4
27 Odder 2 1 1 0 +2 4
28 GVI 2 1 1 0 +2 4
29 AB Copenhagen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
30 Lyngby 3 1 1 1 -1 4
31 Skjold Sæby 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Vejgaard B 2 1 0 1 +5 3
33 Vanløse 2 1 0 1 +4 3
34 Brondby 1 1 0 0 +3 3
35 Midtjylland 1 1 0 0 +3 3
36 FC Nakskov 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Nordsjaelland 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Skive 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Aarhus 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Randers FC 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 FC Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Farsø/Ullits 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Middelfart 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 BSI 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Horsens 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 FA 2000 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Tune 2 1 0 1 -1 3
48 Skanderborg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
49 Ishøj 2 1 0 1 -2 3
50 B 1909 2 1 0 1 -2 3
51 Bramming 2 1 0 1 -3 3
52 Mejrup 2 1 0 1 -3 3
53 Marstal / Rise 2 1 0 1 -4 3
54 Gørslev 2 1 0 1 -4 3
55 Silkeborg KFUM 3 1 0 2 -7 3
56 Raklev 2 1 0 1 -8 3
57 FC Kalundborg 2 1 0 1 -10 3
58 LSF 2 0 2 0 +0 2
59 Frem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Nykobing FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
61 HB Koge 1 0 0 1 -1 0
62 Nørresundby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
63 OKS 1 0 0 1 -1 0
64 Tved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
65 SfB-Oure 1 0 0 1 -1 0
66 Næsby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Fremad Amager 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Vendsyssel FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Marienlyst 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 ASA Aarhus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Naestved 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 ESPM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 TRIF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Nerashté Ballerup 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 FC Helsingor 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Sønderborg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Tårnby FF 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Stenløse 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Allerød 1 0 0 1 -2 0
80 Holstebro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Skovsgård 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Rudersdal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Fredensborg BI 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 NB Bornholm 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Kastrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Skødstrup 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Avarta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Billund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
89 Brabrand 1 0 0 1 -3 0
90 BK Chang 1 0 0 1 -3 0
91 Grenaa 1 0 0 1 -3 0
92 Skibsby-Hojene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
93 KFUM Odense 1 0 0 1 -4 0
94 Kjellerup 1 0 0 1 -4 0
95 BiH Odense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
96 Frem Sakskøbing 1 0 0 1 -5 0
97 Norager 1 0 0 1 -5 0
98 Husum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
99 Viktoria 1 0 0 1 -5 0
100 Øresund OKF 1 0 0 1 -5 0
101 Vallensbæk 1 0 0 1 -6 0
102 Snejbjerg 1 0 0 1 -6 0
103 LUIF 1 0 0 1 -7 0
104 Ålholm 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Esbjerg Randers FC
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Lauenborg
↦ M. Themsen
46′
🔁 M. Toure
↦ M. Toure
65′
🟨 N. Campbell
66′
🔁 O. Seck
↦ A. Al Hamawi
A. Troelsen 🔁
↦ T. Stagaard
72′
L. Vigen 🔁
↦ J. Kolawole
72′
75′
🔁 E. Mahmoud
↦ N. Campbell
J. Buus 🔁
↦ J. Ankersen
79′
R. Gyamfi 🔁
↦ M. Hansen
79′
85′
🔁 N. Dyhr
↦ S. Hansen
91′
🔁 A. Romer
↦ L. Pedersen
B. Baldursson 🔁
↦ P. Tjornelund
97′
L. Vigen 🟨
105′
J. Lucena 🔁
↦ A. Lausen
105′
S. Strand 🟨
119′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Esbjerg

21 R. McCrorie
4 P. Tjornelund
3 A. Skipper
15 T. Stagaard
19 S. Strand
14 J. Kolawole
18 M. Hansen
8 M. Maden
12 A. Lausen
80 M. Brajanac
9 J. Ankersen
Bench (9)
2 J. Buus
5 A. Troelsen
6 L. Vigen
10 R. Gyamfi
16 K. Kristensen
17 J. Lucena
27 B. Baldursson
32 N. Blicher
40 E. Larsen

Coach: Sancheev Manoharan

Randers FC

32 J. Storch
27 O. Olsen
3 D. Hoegh
4 W. Dammers
24 S. Hansen
6 J. Bjorkengren
16 L. Pedersen
10 N. Campbell
30 M. Themsen
19 M. Toure
9 A. Al Hamawi
Bench (9)
1 P. Izzo
2 L. Lissens
44 N. Dyhr
28 A. Romer
14 F. Lauenborg
38 M. Albaek
25 O. Seck
11 E. Mahmoud
7 M. Toure

Coach: Rasmus Bertelsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Maae · 51 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.