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Copa del Rey
2–4
Full-time
Eibar
U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Náxara Eibar
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 3 2 0 1 -2 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Maracena 3 1 1 1 -3 4
8 Inter de Valdemoro 3 1 1 1 -9 4
9 Getafe 1 1 0 0 +11 3
10 Valencia 1 1 0 0 +5 3
11 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Granada 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Elche 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Santander 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 CF Talavera 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +3 3
20 Albacete 1 1 0 0 +3 3
21 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Extremadura 1924 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Ceuta 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Guadalajara 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Sabadell 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 SD Negreira 3 1 0 2 +0 3
32 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
34 Los Garres 3 1 0 2 -4 3
35 Ebro 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Tarazona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Langreo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Ferrol 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
40 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
41 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
42 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
43 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
44 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Ucam Murcia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
50 Las Palmas 1 0 0 1 -2 0
51 Tropezón 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Mutilvera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 La Unión Atlético 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Rayo Majadahonda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
56 Toledo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
57 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
58 San Fernando CD 1 0 0 1 -3 0
59 Roda 1 0 0 1 -4 0
60 SD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -4 0
61 RSD Alcalá 1 0 0 1 -4 0
62 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
63 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Náxara Eibar
20′
Javier Marton 0–1
T. Villa
39′
P. Nolaskoain 0–2
1–2 V. Martinez
J. Blanco Lopez
44′
Half-time 1–2
S. Lallana 🔁
↦ I. Flano
46′
J. Campos 🔁
↦ J. Orodea
46′
S. Lallana 🟨
50′
52′
T. Villa 1–3
E. Blanco Garcia 🔁
↦ Rodriguez Miguel
60′
60′
🔁 J. Martinez
↦ P. Nolaskoain
60′
🔁 J. Bautista
↦ Javier Marton
60′
🔁 A. Rodriguez
↦ O. Llorente
I. Villoslada 🔁
↦ I. Rojo
64′
68′
🟨 J. Bautista
M. Cena 🔁
↦ J. Blanco Lopez
72′
75′
🔁 H. Garcia
↦ A. Ares
81′
🔁 X. Alkain
↦ T. Villa
2–3 I. Ochoa
S. Lallana
82′
89′
J. Bautista 2–4
J. Cano 🟨
93′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Náxara

13 D. Lleyda
14 V. Martinez
6 I. Ochoa
21 J. Cano
3 Rodriguez Miguel
10 J. Blanco Lopez
19 A. Merino
17 M. Gil Garcia
2 I. Flano
9 J. Orodea
15 I. Rojo
Bench (11)
1 Tono
4 E. Blanco Garcia
5 J. Garcia
7 I. Villoslada
8 S. Lallana
11 J. Campos
12 M. Cena
16 H. Martinez
18 A. Garcia
20 I. Landin
22 A. Maiso

Coach: Arturo Guerra

Eibar

1 L. Lopez
34 O. Llorente
4 A. Arambarri
15 Jair
3 H. Arrillaga
19 T. Villa
30 A. Garrido
8 P. Nolaskoain
18 A. Ares
11 J. Magunazelaia Argoitia
20 Javier Marton
Bench (11)
13 J. Magunagoitia
5 J. Martinez
7 X. Alkain
9 J. Bautista
14 L. Olaetxea
21 M. Moreno
22 A. Rodriguez
24 L. Buta
27 H. Garcia
31 J. Lopez
33 M. Delgado

Coach: Benat San Jose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.