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Premiership
Referee: C Scott
Hearts
T U S T U
1–0
Full-time
Motherwell
S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Motherwell
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 31%
20%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
55%
79%
Both score Ø 67%
65%
68%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
18 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Corners 4
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 11. · Motherwell 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 16 2 0 +48 50
2 Rangers 18 11 3 4 +18 36
3 Aberdeen 19 10 4 5 +5 34
4 Dundee United 19 8 7 4 +8 31
5 St Mirren 20 8 3 9 -5 27
6 Motherwell 19 8 3 8 -8 27
7 Hibernian 20 6 6 8 -4 24
8 Dundee 19 6 4 9 -5 22
9 Kilmarnock 20 5 6 9 -13 21
10 Ross County 20 4 7 9 -18 19
11 Hearts 20 4 5 11 -8 17
12 ST Johnstone 20 4 2 14 -18 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Aug -24 Motherwell – Hearts 3–1 17. Feb -24 Hearts – Motherwell 2–0 11. Nov -23 Motherwell – Hearts 1–2 3. Sep -23 Hearts – Motherwell 0–1 19. Feb -23 Motherwell – Hearts 2–0

Match report

Hearts Motherwell
1–0 M. Drammeh ⚽
7′
Musa Drammeh ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
9′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Ebiye
↦ T. Sparrow
46′
🔁 S. Nicholson
↦ S. Blaney
46′
🔁 D. Zdravkovski
↦ H. Paton
65′
🟨 Dan Casey
Adam Forrester 🟨
66′
Cameron Devlin 🟨
67′
75′
🔁 M. Kaleta
↦ A. Halliday
75′
🔁 J. Vale
↦ T. Maswanhise
B. Baningime 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
77′
K. Vargas 🔁
↦ J. Wilson
77′
Jorge Grant 🟨
83′
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ M. Drammeh
89′
Y. Dhanda 🔁
↦ J. Grant
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
1 C. Gordon G
35 A. Forrester D
4 C. Halkett D
15 K. Rowles D
29 J. Penrice D
14 C. Devlin M
7 J. Grant M
37 M. Drammeh M
27 L. Boyce M
16 B. Spittal M
21 J. Wilson F
Bench (9)
6 B. Baningime
77 K. Vargas
17 A. Forrest
20 Y. Dhanda
5 D. Oyegoke
18 M. Boateng
28 Z. Clark
25 M. Tait
23 L. Neilson

Coach: N. Critchley

Motherwell

3-4-2-1
13 A. Oxborough G
15 D. Casey D
4 L. Gordon D
20 S. Blaney D
2 S. O'Donnell M
11 A. Halliday M
12 H. Paton M
23 E. Wilson M
7 T. Sparrow F
55 T. Maswanhise F
52 T. Watt F
Bench (9)
24 M. Ebiye
19 S. Nicholson
6 D. Zdravkovski
21 M. Kaleta
77 J. Vale
16 P. McGinn
5 K. Balmer
22 J. Koutroumbis
1 K. Hegyi

Coach: S. Kettlewell

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,80
🔒
U
3,62
🔒
B
4,21
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,85
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,91
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

C Scott · 34 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.