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Champions League
Referee: B Bastien
Celtic
S U U S S
3–1
Full-time
RB Leipzig
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic RB Leipzig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,63 xG 1,13
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 8
2 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Oct -22 Celtic – RB Leipzig 0–2 5. Oct -22 RB Leipzig – Celtic 3–1

Match report

Celtic RB Leipzig
23′
⚽ C. Baumgartner 0–1
1–1 N. Kühn ⚽
A. Engels
35′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 N. Kühn ⚽
G. Taylor
46′
62′
🟨 Benjamin Šeško
Álex Valle 🔁
↦ G. Taylor
68′
Paulo Bernardo 🔁
↦ A. Engels
68′
68′
🔁 Y. Poulsen
↦ B. Šeško
68′
🔁 E. Elmas
↦ A. Nusa
3–1 R. Hatate ⚽
72′
Yang Hyun-Jun 🔁
↦ N. Kühn
74′
L. Scales 🔁
↦ C. Carter-Vickers
74′
76′
🔁 A. Ouédraogo
↦ C. Baumgartner
76′
🔁 N. Seiwald
↦ A. Haidara
81′
🔁 André Silva
↦ L. Openda
A. Idah 🔁
↦ K. Furuhashi
82′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Celtic

4-3-3
1 K. Schmeichel G
2 A. Johnston D
20 C. Carter-Vickers D
6 A. Trusty D
3 G. Taylor D
27 A. Engels M
42 C. McGregor M
41 R. Hatate M
10 N. Kühn F
8 K. Furuhashi F
38 D. Maeda F
Bench (12)
11 Álex Valle
28 Paulo Bernardo
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
5 L. Scales
9 A. Idah
12 V. Sinisalo
57 S. Welsh
49 J. Forrest
56 A. Ralston
17 M. Nawrocki
14 L. McCowan
7 L. Palma

Coach: B. Rodgers

RB Leipzig

4-4-2
1 P. Gulácsi G
3 L. Geertruida D
4 W. Orbán D
5 E. Bitshiabu D
39 B. Henrichs D
14 C. Baumgartner M
8 A. Haidara M
44 K. Kampl M
7 A. Nusa M
30 B. Šeško F
11 L. Openda F
Bench (9)
9 Y. Poulsen
6 E. Elmas
20 A. Ouédraogo
13 N. Seiwald
19 André Silva
18 A. Vermeeren
16 L. Klostermann
26 M. Vandevoordt
47 V. Gebel

Coach: M. Rose

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.