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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Kilmarnock
U S S U T
2–2
Full-time
Hibernian
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Premiership · 22/21 matches
Win Ø 33%
36%
29%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
45%
57%
Both score Ø 49%
50%
48%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 4. · Hibernian 7. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 22 17 3 2 +38 54
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 22 12 3 7 +7 39
4 Kilmarnock 22 8 7 7 +1 31
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Dundee 20 6 7 7 -4 25
7 Hibernian 21 6 7 8 -6 25
8 Aberdeen 19 6 5 8 -7 23
9 Motherwell 21 4 8 9 -9 20
10 ST Johnstone 21 4 8 9 -14 20
11 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -12 18
12 Livingston 22 2 6 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

11. Nov -23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0 16. Sep -23 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 2–2 18. Feb -23 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 2–0 12. Nov -22 Kilmarnock – Hibernian 1–0 3. Sep -22 Hibernian – Kilmarnock 1–0

Match report

Kilmarnock Hibernian
Joe Wright 🟨
17′
0–1 D. Vente ⚽
own goal
25′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 M. Kennedy ⚽
D. Armstrong
54′
57′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ É. Youan
57′
🔁 R. Whittaker
↦ K. Megwa
57′
🔁 M. Maolida
↦ D. Vente
66′
⚽ J. Newell 1–2
Corrie Ndaba ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
72′
Corrie Ndaba 🟥
73′
R. Deas 🔁
↦ D. Armstrong
74′
74′
🔁 H. McKirdy
↦ Jair Tavares
81′
⚽ M. Maolida 1–3
D. Levitt
82′
🔁 L. Amos
↦ D. Levitt
L. Donnelly 🔁
↦ R. McKenzie
86′
Matthew Kennedy 🟨
90′
F. Murray 🔁
↦ M. Kennedy
91′
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
91′
93′
🟨 Emiliano Marcondes
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
20 K. O'Hara G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
7 R. McKenzie M
10 M. Kennedy M
9 K. Vassell F
23 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
6 R. Deas
22 L. Donnelly
15 F. Murray
31 L. Polworth
39 G. Mackay-Steven
14 J. Balagizi
18 I. Cameron
19 T. Davies
50 M. Birighitti

Coach: D. McInnes

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
42 K. Megwa D
5 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
21 J. Obita D
11 J. Newell M
6 D. Levitt M
7 É. Youan M
20 E. Marcondes M
29 Jair Tavares M
9 D. Vente F
Bench (9)
23 C. Doidge
49 R. Whittaker
17 M. Maolida
22 H. McKirdy
15 L. Amos
16 L. Stevenson
31 M. Johnson
35 R. Molotnikov
30 N. Moriah-Welsh

Coach: N. Montgomery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,05
🔒
U ✓
3,39
🔒
B
3,58
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,03
🔒
U2,5
1,76
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.