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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Aberdeen
T S U T U
1–1
Full-time
Celtic
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,3
This season — Premiership · 21/23 matches
Win Ø 54%
29%
78%
Points per game
1,1
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
48%
70%
Both score Ø 46%
43%
48%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,1
2,3
Conceded
1,6
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

29% Possession 71%
7 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 9
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 12
4 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 23 18 3 2 +39 57
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 23 13 3 7 +9 42
4 Kilmarnock 23 8 8 7 +1 32
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Dundee 21 6 8 7 -4 26
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -6 26
8 Aberdeen 21 6 6 9 -9 24
9 Motherwell 22 4 9 9 -9 21
10 ST Johnstone 22 4 9 9 -14 21
11 Ross County 21 4 7 10 -13 19
12 Livingston 23 2 7 14 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Nov -23 Celtic – Aberdeen 6–0 13. Aug -23 Aberdeen – Celtic 1–3 27. May -23 Celtic – Aberdeen 5–0 18. Feb -23 Celtic – Aberdeen 4–0 17. Dec -22 Aberdeen – Celtic 0–1

Match report

Aberdeen Celtic
8′
ℹ️ Luis Palma
VAR: Goal cancelled
Graeme Shinnie 🟨
24′
25′
🟨 Maik Nawrocki
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Miovski ⚽
D. Polvara
50′
Jamie McGrath 🟨
54′
Bojan Miovski 🟨
56′
59′
🔁 N. Kühn
↦ L. Abada
59′
🔁 A. Ralston
↦ A. Bernabéi
59′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ Paulo Bernardo
L. Clarkson 🔁
↦ K. Phillips
62′
63′
⚽ N. Kühn 1–1
A. Idah
Duk 🔁
↦ D. Polvara
77′
77′
🔁 S. Welsh
↦ M. Nawrocki
87′
🔁 R. Vata
↦ L. Palma
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
24 K. Roos G
2 N. Devlin D
6 S. Gartenmann D
5 R. Jensen D
3 J. MacKenzie D
8 C. Barron M
4 G. Shinnie M
21 D. Polvara M
18 K. Phillips M
7 J. McGrath M
9 B. Miovski F
Bench (9)
10 L. Clarkson
11 Duk
31 R. Doohan
17 J. Hayes
23 R. Duncan
27 A. MacDonald
20 S. Morris
19 E. Sokler
28 J. Milne

Coach: P. Leven

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
17 M. Nawrocki D
5 L. Scales D
25 A. Bernabéi D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
11 L. Abada F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
10 N. Kühn
56 A. Ralston
9 A. Idah
57 S. Welsh
39 R. Vata
48 D. Kelly
15 O. Holm
49 J. Forrest
29 S. Bain

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
7,43
🔒
U ✓
4,97
🔒
B
1,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,53
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,43
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.