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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
St Mirren
S U T T S
0–3
Full-time
Celtic
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premiership · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 57%
38%
76%
Points per game
1,4
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
52%
Average goals
2,3
3,1
Scored
1,1
2,4
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

27% Possession 73%
3 Shots 24
0 Shots on target 11
1 Blocked shots 9
8 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 12
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 8
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 5. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 16 3 2 +35 51
2 Rangers 20 15 1 4 +30 46
3 Hearts 21 11 3 7 +6 36
4 Kilmarnock 22 8 7 7 +1 31
5 St Mirren 21 8 5 8 -1 29
6 Hibernian 20 6 7 7 -3 25
7 Dundee 18 5 7 6 -6 22
8 Aberdeen 18 6 4 8 -7 22
9 Motherwell 21 4 8 9 -9 20
10 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
11 Ross County 19 4 6 9 -12 18
12 Livingston 21 2 6 13 -20 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Nov -23 Celtic – St Mirren 2–1 20. May -23 Celtic – St Mirren 2–2 5. Mar -23 St Mirren – Celtic 1–5 18. Jan -23 Celtic – St Mirren 4–0 18. Sep -22 St Mirren – Celtic 2–0

Match report

St Mirren Celtic
1′
⚽ D. Maeda 0–1
M. O'Riley
6′
⚽ M. O'Riley 0–2
Paulo Bernardo
Half-time 0–2
Toyosi Olusanya ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
46′
Toyosi Olusanya 🟥
48′
55′
🔁 Yang Hyun-Jun
↦ L. Palma
60′
⚽ G. Taylor 0–3
Paulo Bernardo
63′
🔁 G. Lagerbielke
↦ M. Nawrocki
63′
🔁 L. Abada
↦ D. Maeda
J. Ayunga 🔁
↦ M. Mandron
65′
E. Bwomono 🔁
↦ R. Flynn
65′
71′
🔁 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
↦ K. Furuhashi
71′
🔁 R. Hatate
↦ Paulo Bernardo
A. Greive 🔁
↦ C. Boyd-Munce
78′
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
5 R. Taylor D
22 M. Fraser M
8 R. Flynn M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
11 G. Kiltie M
3 S. Tanser M
20 T. Olusanya F
9 M. Mandron F
Bench (9)
7 J. Ayunga
42 E. Bwomono
21 A. Greive
18 C. Dunne
24 L. Jamieson
16 T. Small
10 C. McMenamin
27 P. Urminský
19 S. Nahmani

Coach: S. Robinson

Celtic

4-3-3
1 J. Hart G
2 A. Johnston D
17 M. Nawrocki D
5 L. Scales D
3 G. Taylor D
33 M. O'Riley M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
38 D. Maeda F
8 K. Furuhashi F
7 L. Palma F
Bench (9)
13 Yang Hyun-Jun
4 G. Lagerbielke
11 L. Abada
19 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
41 R. Hatate
14 D. Turnbull
90 M. Johnston
56 A. Ralston
29 S. Bain

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,10
🔒
U
6,00
🔒
B ✓
1,23
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,58
🔒
U2,5
2,33
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.