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Premiership
Referee: W Collum
Hibernian
T T U T U
0–3
Full-time
St Mirren
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 22/23 matches
Win Ø 31%
27%
35%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 51%
59%
43%
Both score Ø 40%
50%
30%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

61% Possession 39%
6 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 7. · St Mirren 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 24 18 4 2 +39 58
2 Rangers 22 17 1 4 +34 52
3 Hearts 23 13 3 7 +9 42
4 Kilmarnock 23 8 8 7 +1 32
5 St Mirren 23 8 5 10 -5 29
6 Dundee 21 6 8 7 -4 26
7 Hibernian 22 6 8 8 -6 26
8 Aberdeen 22 6 7 9 -9 25
9 ST Johnstone 23 5 9 9 -13 24
10 Motherwell 22 4 9 9 -9 21
11 Ross County 22 4 7 11 -14 19
12 Livingston 23 2 7 14 -23 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Nov -23 St Mirren – Hibernian 2–2 6. Aug -23 Hibernian – St Mirren 2–3 6. May -23 Hibernian – St Mirren 2–1 4. Feb -23 St Mirren – Hibernian 0–1 29. Oct -22 Hibernian – St Mirren 3–0

Match report

Hibernian St Mirren
8′
⚽ A. Gogić 0–1
C. Boyd-Munce
16′
🟨 Caolan Boyd-Munce
Dylan Levitt 🟨
20′
34′
⚽ G. Kiltie 0–2
44′
⚽ M. Mandron 0–3
C. Boyd-Munce
Half-time 0–3
Eliezer Mayenda 🔁
↦ Jair Tavares
46′
N. Moriah-Welsh 🔁
↦ D. Levitt
46′
D. Vente 🔁
↦ É. Youan
46′
Rory Whittaker 🟨
47′
57′
🔁 L. Jamieson
↦ J. Scott
62′
🔁 C. Dunne
↦ J. Bolton
K. Megwa 🔁
↦ R. Whittaker
65′
A. Le Fondre 🔁
↦ M. Maolida
69′
Jordan Obita 🟨
74′
78′
🟨 Scott Tanser
81′
🔁 T. Olusanya
↦ M. Mandron
81′
🔁 R. Flynn
↦ Kwon Hyeok-Kyu
82′
🔁 J. Brown
↦ E. Bwomono
91′
🟨 Toyosi Olusanya
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
49 R. Whittaker D
5 W. Fish D
23 N. Triantis D
21 J. Obita D
11 J. Newell M
6 D. Levitt M
29 Jair Tavares M
20 E. Marcondes M
17 M. Maolida M
7 É. Youan F
Bench (9)
14 Eliezer Mayenda
30 N. Moriah-Welsh
9 D. Vente
42 K. Megwa
19 A. Le Fondre
12 C. Cadden
15 L. Amos
16 L. Stevenson
13 J. Wollacott

Coach: N. Montgomery

St Mirren

3-4-3
1 Z. Hemming G
2 J. Bolton D
13 A. Gogić D
22 M. Fraser D
42 E. Bwomono M
16 Kwon Hyeok-Kyu M
15 C. Boyd-Munce M
3 S. Tanser M
14 J. Scott F
9 M. Mandron F
11 G. Kiltie F
Bench (9)
24 L. Jamieson
18 C. Dunne
20 T. Olusanya
8 R. Flynn
21 J. Brown
7 J. Ayunga
5 R. Taylor
27 P. Urminský
37 C. Penman

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,01
🔒
U
3,37
🔒
B ✓
3,72
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,12
🔒
U2,5
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

W Collum · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.