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LaLiga2
Referee: Salvador Lax
Zaragoza
U T T T T
1–0
Full-time
Leganes
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Leganes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
35%
65%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
18%
35%
Both score Ø 29%
29%
29%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,6
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 5
2 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
3 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zaragoza 14. · Leganes 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 17 11 3 3 +19 36
2 Sp Gijon 18 9 5 4 +11 32
3 Valladolid 17 10 2 5 +4 32
4 Espanol 18 9 4 5 +10 31
5 Eibar 17 9 3 5 +9 30
6 Ferrol 17 7 7 3 +3 28
7 Santander 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Tenerife 18 8 3 7 +2 27
9 Elche 17 7 5 5 -1 26
10 Oviedo 18 6 7 5 +6 25
11 Levante 17 6 6 5 -1 24
12 Eldense 18 6 5 7 -5 23
13 Mirandes 17 6 4 7 -1 22
14 Zaragoza 17 6 4 7 -1 22
15 Burgos 17 6 4 7 -2 22
16 Albacete 17 5 6 6 -5 21
17 Andorra 17 5 3 9 -7 18
18 Villarreal B 17 4 5 8 -7 17
19 Huesca 17 3 7 7 -4 16
20 Amorebieta 17 3 5 9 -10 14
21 Alcorcon 17 3 5 9 -13 14
22 Cartagena 18 2 6 10 -12 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zaragoza Leganes
Marc Aguado 🟨
28′
Víctor Mollejo 🟨
34′
1–0 Maikel Mesa
39′
Half-time 1–0
63′
🔁 Portillo
↦ J. Chicco
65′
🟨 Miguel de la Fuente
78′
🔁 N. Djouahra
↦ Iker Undabarrena
78′
🔁 Oscar Ureña
↦ Diego García
78′
🔁 S. Cissé
↦ Y. Neyou
Jaume Grau 🔁
↦ Maikel Mesa
80′
86′
🔁 Naim García
↦ Enric Franquesa
Sergio Bermejo 🔁
↦ Marc Aguado
88′
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Víctor Mollejo
89′
Alberto Vaquero 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
89′
Andrés Borge 🔁
↦ Germán Valera
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Zaragoza

3-4-2-1
35 Dani Rebollo G
15 S. Mouriño D
3 Jair Amador D
6 Alejandro Francés D
18 Fran Gámez M
21 Toni Moya M
8 Marc Aguado M
7 Germán Valera M
11 Maikel Mesa F
14 Francho Serrano F
20 Víctor Mollejo F
Bench (12)
5 Jaume Grau
10 Sergio Bermejo
23 Sergi Enrich
26 Alberto Vaquero
38 Andrés Borge
31 Juan Serrano
19 Manu Vallejo
13 G. Poussin
36 Guillermo Acín
27 Marcos Luna
29 Pau Sans
34 Marcos Cuenca

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Leganes

4-4-2
13 Diego Conde G
21 Jorge Miramón D
3 Jorge Sáenz D
6 Sergio González D
15 Enric Franquesa D
24 J. Chicco M
20 Iker Undabarrena M
17 Y. Neyou M
10 Dani Raba M
19 Diego García F
9 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
7 Portillo
23 N. Djouahra
28 Oscar Ureña
32 S. Cissé
27 Naim García
22 Aritz Arambarri
11 Darío Poveda
1 Dani Jiménez
8 Luis Perea
5 Josema
33 Lalo Aguilar
36 Alvin

Coach: Borja Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,73
U
2,86
B
2,88
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,77
U2,5 ✓
1,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Salvador Lax · 44 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.