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LaLiga2
Referee: José López
Cartagena
U T U U U
1–0
Full-time
Sp Gijon
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Sp Gijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
6%
53%
Points per game
0,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
41%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
65%
35%
Average goals
2,4
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,6
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Sp Gijon 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leganes 17 11 3 3 +19 36
2 Sp Gijon 17 9 5 3 +12 32
3 Valladolid 17 10 2 5 +4 32
4 Espanol 18 9 4 5 +10 31
5 Eibar 17 9 3 5 +9 30
6 Ferrol 17 7 7 3 +3 28
7 Santander 17 8 3 6 +5 27
8 Elche 17 7 5 5 -1 26
9 Oviedo 18 6 7 5 +6 25
10 Levante 17 6 6 5 -1 24
11 Tenerife 17 7 3 7 -1 24
12 Eldense 17 6 5 6 -2 23
13 Mirandes 17 6 4 7 -1 22
14 Zaragoza 17 6 4 7 -1 22
15 Burgos 17 6 4 7 -2 22
16 Albacete 17 5 6 6 -5 21
17 Andorra 17 5 3 9 -7 18
18 Villarreal B 17 4 5 8 -7 17
19 Huesca 17 3 7 7 -4 16
20 Amorebieta 17 3 5 9 -10 14
21 Alcorcon 17 3 5 9 -13 14
22 Cartagena 17 1 6 10 -13 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Sp Gijon
43′
🟨 Pablo Insua
Half-time 0–0
61′
🔁 H. Hassan
↦ Guille Rosas
61′
🔁 Fran Villalba
↦ J. Otero
Juan Carlos 🟨
65′
67′
🔁 A. Pașcanu
↦ Pablo Insua
67′
🔁 Christian Rivera
↦ Roque Mesa
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ J. Narváez
72′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ D. Musto
72′
1–0 Juan Carlos Real
H. Hevel
79′
Juan Carlos ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
81′
David Ferreiro 🔁
↦ H. Hevel
84′
Úmaro Embaló 🔁
↦ I. Jansson
84′
84′
🔁 I. Jeraldino
↦ Gaspar Campos
Gonzalo Verdú 🔁
↦ Juan Carlos Real
88′
95′
🟨 Haissem Hassan
96′
🟨 Carlos Izquierdoz
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Marc Martínez G
16 Iván Calero D
4 Alcalá D
14 José Fontán D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
18 D. Musto M
8 Luis Muñoz M
10 H. Hevel M
11 Juan Carlos Real M
21 I. Jansson M
12 J. Narváez F
Bench (12)
9 Alfredo Ortuño
17 Mikel Rico
7 David Ferreiro
19 Úmaro Embaló
5 Gonzalo Verdú
48 Jhafets Christ
13 Raúl Lizoain
39 Diego de Pedro
35 Iván Ayllón
47 Juan Carlos
32 Jony Álamo
29 L. de León

Coach: Julián Calero

Sp Gijon

3-5-2
1 Rubén Yáñez G
4 Pablo Insua D
24 C. Izquierdoz D
22 Rober Pier D
2 Guille Rosas M
10 Nacho Méndez M
15 Roque Mesa M
7 Gaspar Campos M
3 Cote M
23 U. Đurđević F
19 J. Otero F
Bench (12)
21 H. Hassan
8 Fran Villalba
25 A. Pașcanu
17 Christian Rivera
14 I. Jeraldino
31 E. Lozano
5 Pablo García
16 Diego Sánchez
12 J. Varane
20 J. Carrillo
13 C. Sánchez
27 Enol Coto

Coach: Miguel Ángel Ramírez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,08
U
3,14
B
2,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,25
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José López · 45 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.