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Süper Lig

Referee: S Saka

Ad. Demirspor

T S U U U

2–3

Full-time

Samsunspor

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Samsunspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

46%

15%

Points per game

1,8

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

54%

46%

Both score Ø 54%

54%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,11 xG 2,53

65% Possession 35%

11 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 4. · Samsunspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	13	11	1	1	+24	+24.8	34
2	Galatasaray	13	11	1	1	+18	+19.1	34
3	Besiktas	13	8	1	4	+5	+8.7	25
4	Ad. Demirspor	13	6	5	2	+11	+3.0	23
5	Trabzonspor	13	7	2	4	+7	-2.8	23
6	Kayserispor	13	6	5	2	+4	-2.4	23
7	Rizespor	14	6	3	5	-5	-6.5	21
8	Antalyaspor	14	5	5	4	+4	+0.5	20
9	Hatayspor	14	4	6	4	+3	+2.6	18
10	Kasimpasa	13	5	3	5	-4	-3.7	18
11	Karagumruk	14	4	5	5	+5	-4.9	17
12	Ankaragücü	13	4	4	5	+0	-2.2	16
13	Sivasspor	13	3	6	4	-4	-0.1	15
14	Gaziantep	13	5	0	8	-6	-4.4	15
15	Konyaspor	14	3	5	6	-5	-4.0	14
16	Pendikspor	13	3	4	6	-13	-7.6	13
17	Buyuksehyr	14	3	3	8	-6	-4.1	12
18	Alanyaspor	14	2	5	7	-12	-4.8	11
19	Samsunspor	13	2	2	9	-11	+0.3	8
20	İstanbulspor	14	2	2	10	-15	-11.3	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ad. Demirspor	7	6	1	0	+14	+5.4	19
2	Fenerbahce	7	6	0	1	+13	+14.2	18
3	Galatasaray	6	6	0	0	+11	+11.7	18
4	Besiktas	6	5	1	0	+8	+6.6	16
5	Trabzonspor	6	5	0	1	+6	+1.5	15
6	Kayserispor	7	4	3	0	+6	+3.5	15
7	Rizespor	7	4	2	1	+3	+1.3	14
8	Karagumruk	8	3	3	2	+6	-0.9	12
9	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	+3	+2.6	12
10	Antalyaspor	7	3	3	1	+2	+0.3	12
11	Kasimpasa	7	3	1	3	-3	-2.3	10
12	Gaziantep	6	3	0	3	-1	-0.5	9
13	Alanyaspor	8	2	3	3	-2	+1.0	9
14	Konyaspor	7	2	2	3	+0	-0.3	8
15	Ankaragücü	6	2	2	2	+0	+1.3	8
16	Buyuksehyr	6	2	1	3	+1	-0.8	7
17	Samsunspor	6	2	1	3	-2	+0.4	7
18	İstanbulspor	7	2	1	4	-4	-6.2	7
19	Sivasspor	7	0	5	2	-3	+1.9	5
20	Pendikspor	6	1	2	3	-9	-6.8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	6	5	1	0	+11	+10.5	16
2	Galatasaray	7	5	1	1	+7	+7.5	16
3	Sivasspor	6	3	1	2	-1	-2.0	10
4	Besiktas	7	3	0	4	-3	+2.1	9
5	Antalyaspor	7	2	2	3	+2	+0.2	8
6	Trabzonspor	7	2	2	3	+1	-4.2	8
7	Ankaragücü	7	2	2	3	+0	-3.5	8
8	Kasimpasa	6	2	2	2	-1	-1.4	8
9	Kayserispor	6	2	2	2	-2	-5.9	8
10	Pendikspor	7	2	2	3	-4	-0.9	8
11	Rizespor	7	2	1	4	-8	-7.8	7
12	Hatayspor	7	1	3	3	+0	-0.0	6
13	Konyaspor	7	1	3	3	-5	-3.8	6
14	Gaziantep	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.9	6
15	Karagumruk	6	1	2	3	-1	-4.0	5
16	Buyuksehyr	8	1	2	5	-7	-3.4	5
17	Ad. Demirspor	6	0	4	2	-3	-2.4	4
18	Alanyaspor	6	0	2	4	-10	-5.8	2
19	Samsunspor	7	0	1	6	-9	-0.1	1
20	İstanbulspor	7	0	1	6	-11	-5.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.